Housing market's median home value (for new homes) peaked 2 months ago at $457k. Total growth leading up to that point over the last 59 years, since 1963, was $439.3k. The last two years accounts for a significant portion of all growth, while the last two growth periods displayed more growth than all of which occurred during the 44 year period between 1963...
American and international corporations are keeping a large number of properties off the market as investments. These unoccupied flats limit supply in sought locations, creating an artificial scarcity as a result of central bank policies that finally caused an Everything Bubble. The number of corporate purchases of houses has increased dramatically. This has...
A look at the Zillow market share. Here we compare Redfin, Zillow, and Berkshire Hathaway to understand the relative market share of some of the largest real estate companies in the US. Just for information, no predictions :)
For over 2 years we've heavily referenced the NAIL ETF ( Provided by Direxion ) to get a better sense of the overall housing market. As a measure of context, our experience / trading background included heavy exposure in supporting MBS (Mortgage Backed Securities) and ABS (Asset Backed Securities) reference data providers. This is in no-way investment...
It looks like the Case-Shiller home price index is about to crash when comparing with mortgage rates and MBA US Market index. With inspiration from Twitter.
Simple chart to look at the relation between hew home builds, a broad housing ETF and a mortgage lender. It demonstrates that they all have a strong correlation and that mortgage company performance is a leading indicator of housing market performance and that new build housing stocks are a leading indicator for the housing market in general.
The more positive way of looking at LUNA, and other crypto disasters in general, is that these sorts of systemic problems eventually all get caught as the foundation falls underneath. In fiat, these sorts of issues get covered up, bailed-out, and hidden behind tools like quantitative easing as people get pushed out into the streets through inflation and housing...
A pretty rough week for the markets - especially crypto. The recent dips are a result of mainstream money (crypto curious, but not necessarily dedicated) leaving the space as a response to inflation woes and the Federal Reserve planning to increase interest rates over 2022. The US housing markets are also set to slow down as well, possibly leading to a recession...
The market is down right now but these are also good times to take a look at what might be the "next big thing". Had you got into the metaverse a year ago, you will most likely be up right now. Otherwise, you're probably in the red. (Yes, even Bitcoin and Ethereum.) The metaverse is this year's clear winner in terms of performance, and it's not too surprising...
Rising interest rates by the Federal Reserve has people concerned of a potential slow-down in the housing market (worse-case scenario, a recession, or even a depression). How would this affect crypto - and metaverse assets in particular? A closer and updated look at what's been going on in virtual vs. real-estate, especially in China (still down by 60%+).
This is just a quick look from a TA view. Housing is not supposed to be a "Sexy" Asset with huge returns. When housing reaches the "Danger Zone" major dislocations in the economy will begin to show( this can be a slow lagging process to reach the surface) -The danger zone or higher, usually leads to the fed increasing interest rates to keep the economy in check. ...
The US Census Bureau recently published population numbers for cities across the US, and the numbers don't look too good: most large urban centers in the country have taken significant population losses in 2020-2021. Politicians and media pundits typically blame COVID and supply chain woes, though these trends were already happening even before the pandemic - the...
The US Census Bureau recently published population numbers for cities across the US, and the numbers don't look too good: most large urban centers in the country have taken significant population losses in 2020-2021. Politicians and media pundits typically blame COVID and supply chain woes, though these trends were already happening even before the pandemic - the...
Monthly chart doesn't look that great IMO, ripe for at least aa 20% correction. ------Technicals------------ Monthly price is extended WAY above MAs, and rejected to top trendline that runs back to 2008. Lumber Prices have gone down a LOT - check LBS1! ------Macro----------- Everyone that wants to buy a home - has bought one. We are about to enter a...
US housing and many other countries have entered a housing bubble like 2008 I believe we're going to see the worst crash in history. AMEX:REZ LSE:IUKP
Unless you're buying with cash, good luck getting a loan when the Fed is done with it's wrecking ball. See you at the bottom :) Disclaimer : Not investment advice.
"Sometimes the light at the end of the tunnel is just the light of an oncoming train"
Moratorium has ended. Let's see what happens.