In this screencast I set out why I think the NASDAQ is in deep trouble and uncertainty. This is truly beyond technical and fundamental analysis.
I'm looking into the psychology of markets. There is a whole lot to fear in this market. Reality is catching up on fantasy. It's been a long lovely dream and the big boys have made their killing. They will not want this...
The VIX is called the 'Fear Index'. That's for a good reason. In times of high volatility what do you do? People in general stay out i.e. they sell off and keep their powder dry, or look for safe havens. They fear for their money, even if they don't admit it.
As a trader you're told 'volatility is good for traders'. But really - is it? It depends on how extreme...
I like to look at potential patterns in market cycles.
The VIX has touched 9.40 three times since 1990.
December of 1993
December of 2006
June 2017 to present
What is interesting about these dates? They all precede the build up of a financial crisis of some kind.
Take December 1993, the VIX briefly touched a low of 9.31,
3 years and 7 months later the...