The H4 analysis of the Euro/Australian Dollar exchange rate points to a negative trend, with the price currently undergoing a Fibonacci retracement at the 0.62-0.79 level. I anticipate a potential bearish momentum for the pair with a potential target of 1.6270, representing an area of liquidity that has yet to be explored. However, it is crucial for the price to...
The EUR/USD exchange rate is advancing significantly after two consecutive days of retracement, although a convincing break of the 1.0900 barrier remains elusive at the moment. The prospects for the pair are expected to turn bearish if it sustains a convincing breach of the crucial 200-day moving average, currently at 1.0844. On the upside, the weekly level of...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has dropped to our Mean Sup 1.090 and is hovering under inverted to now Mean Res 1.090, possibly extending to Mean Res 1.094. The primary downward designation is the established Mean Support level of 1.075, with interim support marked Mean Sup 1.084.
Hi Traders! EURUSD has found support and is targeting the previous breakout level for a re-test ahead of ECB President Lagarde's speech. Here are the details: The market has found strong support at the 1.08555 level, and the price action looks bullish; the lows and highs are starting to get higher, and the price is pulling back near the previous support break...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has been trading aimlessly this week, fluctuating below the designated Mean Resistance of 1.098. The current target is the Mean Support of 1.090, with a potential decline towards the established Mean Support level of 1.075. On the upside, the Eurodollar may attempt to surpass the Mean Resistance level of 1.098 and...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has experienced significant price fluctuations throughout this week's trading session. It has fallen below our Mean Support level of 1.100, indicating a potential decline towards the established Mean Support of 1.075. It is highly probable that the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level of 1.098. The...
Summary The European Central Bank (ECB) will likely cut rates before The Bank of England (BOE), meaning potential downside on EURGBP. The Details European interest rate hikes have been successful - Euro Area inflation is around 2%. Mission accomplished. Easing rates is the next step after holding the current rate for a while. Cutting rates will weaken the...
As of today Thursday, December 14, 2023- ECB ( European Central Bank ) at 14:00 PM ( Budapest Time GMT+1 ) will disclouse their interest rate decision in the following categories. 11:00 EUR EU Leaders Summit 14:15 EUR Deposit Facility Rate (Dec) 14:15 EUR ECB Marginal Lending Facility 14:15 ...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has experienced a notable price jump during this week's trading session, surpassing our Inner Currency Rally level of 1.109. The current price movement indicates that the Eurodollar will likely decline to the newly established Mean Support of 1.100 and potentially to the Mean Support of 1.094. On the other hand, the...
The euro has posted strong gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1121, up 0.72%. The US dollar is under pressure this week as we're seeing a risk-on mood in global markets. The week between Christmas and New Year's is normally quiet, with a very light data calendar. However, investors are anticipating the Federal Reserve to...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has shown significant price movements throughout this week's trading session by surpassing our previously achieved Inner Currency Rally level of 1.099 and its corresponding resistance at the same price point. The current price action suggests that the Eurodollar will likely continue to climb, with the target level...
EU and US spreads are exploding higher as markets start pricing in the spreads between what is required and what is committed (Fed only so far). For Historical reference, price has always followed interest rate spreads
Last week was busy for major central banks. During a 60-hour window, rates were set for 60% of the global economy, from the US Fed, the ECB, to the BoE. Central banks’ announcements caused a frenzy in markets. The pivot to a dovish stance by the US Fed contrasted sharply with hawkishness from the ECB. This paper summarizes rate announcements and their market...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar currency pair has shown a strong rebound in the recent trading session, climbing to reach our previously identified Inner Currency Rally level of 1.099. However, this was followed by a sharp reversal, with the price dropping rapidly. The current price action indicates that the Eurodollar is likely to continue on a...
The euro has snapped a four-day winning streak on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0949, down 0.38%. The euro has enjoyed a strong week, with gains of 1.77%. Eurozone Services PMI eased in December, indicating that the economy continues to struggle. The PMI fell from 48.7 to 48.1 and missed the consensus estimate of 49.0. This marked a...
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: The Fed meeting made some adjustments to the gold deal, but we continue to be a sell priority. Our focus falls on the support level 1981.683, where we can most likely expect another update of local lows. The prospect of a fall to the level of 1949.487. Thank you for like and share your views!
Overnight, the ECB remained cautious, stating that while the inflation path is lower than before, the ECB should not lower its guard. Keeping rates on hold at 4.50%, President Lagarde indicated that the ECB did not discuss rate cut scenarios. The EURUSD traded higher following the news, with price trading within the 1.10 resistance area. Technicals Price...
Preferred direction: SELL Comment: Against the backdrop of the weakening of the American currency after the Fed meeting, we did not wait for the update of local lows at level 1.25279 . Quite a strong strengthening in a number of major instruments against the US dollar. However, we continue to adhere to sell-priority according to scenario 1. Today is also...