In my opinion, the dollar index has completed a complete 5-wave in the daily time frame. We are currently in the ABC correction. Wave A is complete. Wave B ended with 3 moves. Wave C consists of 5 waves. In my opinion, now wave 3 out of 5 is completed and we have to wait for the beginning of wave 4 out of 5. Wave 4 consists of 3 big movements. In my opinion, Wave...
DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 70% DXY, 30% Cash. *All markets reacted negatively to news of Chinese citizens protesting the Covid lockdowns in fear of more supply chain disruptions. The Pentagon is currently devising a proposal to send smaller precision bombs that can be fitted onto rockets and allow for Ukraine to strike...
DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. *I violated the House Rules for showcasing private indicators that I didn't create and was put in timeout in addition to my previous 5 ideas being hidden. Sorry I guess.* *Investors are fleeing DXY and their Fixed Income trades and moving back into Risk-On assets as...
DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% DXY, 80% Cash. *DXY and Long-Term US Treasuries are down after a barely dovish October CPI print that has investors thinking that the Fed is going to somehow pause rates hikes in 2023 or slow down on December 14th. Equities benefited from this and if it wasn't for the FTX/Alameda fallout then...
DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 42% DXY, 58% CASH. * MINOR SUPPORT WATCH . US Midterm elections are underway and the polls are getting ready to close soon, Republicans are expected to control both the House and Senate when the results come in. DXY, US Long-Term Treasuries, CNYUSD, Metals, Agriculture and Cryptos are all...
DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bearish bias. Recommended ratio: 40% DXY, 60% Cash. * The US October Employment Situation today reported 261k nonfarm payroll jobs added (vs 250k expected), a 0.2% increase in unemployment and a 62.2% labor force participation rate. These numbers hardly reflect monetary tightening (labor force participation rate has...
DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 52% DXY, 48% Cash. * FOMC WATCH . DXY, VIX and Agriculture are down while Cryptos, Equity Futures, US Treasuries, CNYUSD, JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, Metals, Oil and Energy are up. White House Economic Advisor Bernstein said today that "President Biden has endorsed the Fed's policy pivot",...
DXYUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% DXY, 70% Cash. *DXY, 10 Year US Treasury Bonds and VIX are taking a hit as JPYUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD, 30 Year US Treasury Bonds, Cryptos, Equities, Equity Futures and Commodities are all up. This is after speculation that Japan's government had intervened in currency markets by selling USD for...
DXY daily guidance is cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 90% DXY, 10% Cash. *Equity Futures, Agriculture, Metals and EURUSD are down to start the week while DXY, US Treasuries, Energy and Crypto are up. As long as the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate keeps going up and Russia keeps escalating the war in Ukraine, DXY will likely keep going up. Key...
This is another target we are looking at for DXY USD INDEX. It is slowly-slowly and slowly growing with all the regulations changes and adding in slice by slice on all countries to abide.
Short term Bear, Medium Term Bull, Macro Big Time Bear.
DXY Daily bearish. Recommended ratio: 5% DXY, 95% Cash . *Treasuries (excluding the 30 yr Bond) and the Dollar are correcting after a bullish summer fueled by supply chain woes and recession fears. Supply chain woes have not been remediated but there is an element of the Bullwhip Effect that should be considered and that is the excess supply that can come...
DXY Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% DXY, 75% Cash. * US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen was interviewed by NBC and explained that due to strong consumer demand, credit quality and employment, the widely anticipated two consecutive quarters of negative GDP would not constitute a recession. She is essentially the White House mouthpiece for the...
With Burry saying we still have 50% more downfall to go - that leads me to think the DXY has quite a bit more room to run (along with plenty of other macroeconomic contributing factors of course) I just decided to single out Burry lol. I can easily see a ~120 DXY which would be carnage for stocks and crypto - earlier today I saw that the the euro/dollar had...
Thought id jump in on the bearish DXY bandwagon. The bearish divergence being touched for the 3rd time here. If a bullish divergence was being touched for the third time on a high time frame, would you be long...i would be.
I am almost certain that the price of DXYUSD may very much follow the sideways channel (Blue dotted lines) that I have laid out, before finally bouncing on support (Green dotted lines) which would then give a significant amount of buying power given the fact that 94.651 Is a major area of bullish divergence. However, price needs to close above the weekly MA before...
Dear DXY, you will need to break through the golden retracement level before I believe in your strength. Talk to make when you above that golden box or even above 200ma on a weekly. Daily fluctuations wont impress me either. Talk to you soon
Double tap on resistance suggest another leg down - supporting equity and crypto upside Best, Hard Forky