The dow bull market is over, the coming recession will cause the initial dip in the Dow which will correspond nicely with the upward lower bound trend and fibonacci retracement of around 22000. Then I'd expect a lower target of around the 50% retracement level of 16000 which will be at the height of the next US recession.
To me this is pretty simple, the Dow was provided with support by the 50 Moving Average and appreciating, but the Coppock curve is still negative so I would wait till the 20,700 make to buy. Also the ADX Green Line has finally crossed over representing a new trend change. So I would buy until the Trendline resistance.