I've been working for 5 hours to estimate the trend turns for the next six months. To gain the knowledge to do those five hours are countless. Now, it will not be 100 % accurate in timing. I still have a lot of cycle work to be completed to fine-tune. But it will be quite accurate as I have gone back in time and checked out what EWZ has done in the past. And...
Agora é o momento? Ainda não temos uma confirmação precisa de reversão de tendência, mas que é um belo furo na LTB, isso é! Como podem ver no gráfico, passamos por tempos nebulosos desde 2010 onde tivemos uma drástica queda nos preços das commodities e graças a um governo muito competente (PT), "e notem a minha ironia enquanto escrevo", tivemos redução e...
If you've been paying attention to headlines about Brazil recently, the term "impeachment" seems to be all over the place. But what's really driving prices upwards in the country's stock market? Is it the daily swaying impeachment probability or something else? Today's instrument to be analysed is EWZ, the ETF that seeks to track the investment results of the...
If you've been paying attention to headlines about Brazil recently, the term "impeachment" seems to be all over the place. But what's really driving prices upwards in the country's stock market? Is it the daily swaying impeachment probability or something else? Today's stock to be analysed is VALE, the Brazilian iron ore producer. The chart's left side is late...
PBR is correlated to oil prices, but that's not all. Out of a selection of other oil majors, PBR underperforms significantly when the starting month of August 2011 is chosen, a date I arbitrarily chose due to launch of a new industrial policy in Brasil (a proxy of changing economic policy). Note, however, work done by my friend, Raphael Geraldelli (related ideas),...
Brazil is under an uncertainty period while president Dilma is not impeached, Brazilian Real may lose value, bringing the USDBRL to around 4.10-4.20 as in the past days or even higher. This is a simple chart with guides on the corresponding BTCBRL prices of their equivalent BTCUSD: 237 238, 239 and 240, red lines are the price with USDBRL at 4.10 and green lines...
Together with my last chart about the BVSP, this is more of a Swing-Trade leveraged position against this active (BOV11 in IBovespa and BVSP in NYSE), considering the following fundamental key points: * The main stocks are being hammered, some of them: Petrobras, Vale, Sabesp. * Brasil fiscal efforts to keep a good spending balance showed some ugly side effects...
Considering both Technical and Fundamental aspects, both the new fiscal policy that benefits investors on the stock market and the technical market setup show us that soon we're going to be calling bottom, expecting a rise back to the 70.000- level after 2015, considering a new record and a new resistance. If the support breaks through before that and the policy...