German Government Bonds 10 YR
HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT DE10 is nice to see strong volume area.... Where is lot of contract accumulated.. I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position.. and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again.. DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for...
US lagging so far and the question remains about how much taper is already priced in. Staying short European bonds working well for the last three months. We maybe approaching exhaustion area. Or the big crackdown breaking below 2020 lows as clearly big capital is leaving Europe $TLT, $IEF, $TNX
📌 A Pullback for Chinese Yields This illustrates the notion of development in a change in trend for China's sovereign bond market . Sellers avoided a breakout and are aiming to test 3.00%. On the fundamental side , China is outperforming as expectations are skewed towards favouring their management of the virus and recognisable weakness of the West!...
The bond market can be quite tricky. In terms of yield curves consider the following: Bear steepening Bull Steepening Bear Flattening Bull Flattening > Steepening (the premium for longer debt is growing) > Flattening (the premium is shrinking) For example, bull steepening, which is exactly what we have been doing this since the start of this...
📌 ridethepig | Rate Differentials Pausing via Italian Politics An important chart update here as we are talking "differentials" in the abstract concept of waves and TA. We must first take notes of the previous leg which was the 1st wave and far from easy to spot, in the early game of rate differential turns, it takes a lot of energy to exploit one side the...
After one of the most unexpected years, I thought I should take a step back and look at macroeconomics a little bit, at one specific chart that I've been watching. That is the German Government 10-Year Bond Yield (DE10Y). I've been anticipating a signal in that chart that will indicate massive shift in global market trends and will bring us closer to the next...
📍 A quick update here on the elements of EUR and USD Ending the 'C' part in the swing down has been a hard struggle and with such a problem a surprising retreat is expected. Buyers are threatening to bottle up their opponent. A pullback in EURUSD towards 1.15/1.14 will make things a lot easier: Inflation is demanding a return, after sufficient...
13:05:36 (UTC) Tue Jul 28, 2020
The positional strength in Bunds was just too strong to contain, the rest is obvious. Now play the topside, retraces into buyers jurisdictions at -0.35 and -0.50 will attract a lot of selling interest in bunds (hence pushing yields up) and triggering the capitulation. We are still set for an emphasis of consolidation across Global Equities, this is still all...
German yields seem to be tracing intermediate wave 3 down of primary wave 5. Yields should decrease below -0.91. If the level at -0.14 is touched, this scenario should be void as primary wave 5 down may have already been completed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
I will try to keep this one relatively short, a very important update to the German 10-year benchmark yield. This is one to track as it is coming after a fresh attempt of a breakdown in EURUSD for the NY open. Here we can see important macro forces in play with extreme risk on the radar via Coronavirus with large sharks being forced to reposition and rebalance...
On the other side of the Atlantic, a timely update to Bund yields with interest rate traders starting to position for 2020. The better prints from Germany are in the spotlight and this increase in interest is accentuated by the next fortnight of data deprivation. Here I am looking for DE10Y to re-test -0.234 next week. EUR$ remains in play to the topside with all...
A rather quick update here as markets find a floor rate differentials as widely anticipated. It is no surprises for those following the chart previously: For the technicals, those with a background in waves will know this is a textbook example of an ABC correction after a 5 wave sequence; Things are a lot clearer in the FX board as we begin the flows in...
A mixed NFP with inflation seeing the consequences via wages presents a good time to review the latest rate differential map: The floor has been placed, expecting Euro to begin rallying as we enter into the final pages of the cycle. US numbers are holding but is clear they wont be able to hold more than Q1 2020. Smart money will now position before waters...
Forecast: I am expecting Bund to continue its uptrend going forward next 2 weeks. Currently, this week weekly candle close as an inside bar, suggesting consolidation period. Bund will either expand this coming week or next week. First: Expansion next week, How to get in? Trade entry: Long the Daily demand zone, with stop below Confirmation: Reclaim last week...
Here expecting Equities and Yields to perform the same dance till we clear the next important CB combo in September. We are at a crucial point in the cycle, a superb time for short covering to begin and with that the opportunity to ride a temporary correction before ECB/FED Sept. A good example of a positional trade ahead of the ECB beginning to cut further;...
The market is sitting at the very lows right on time for ECB. We will not cover the Fundamental side here as this is in the main institutional chatroom... This strong support will mark the 4th wave from 2018. Those with a background in fibs and waves will know that for now price is capped below the 23.6% from the previous cycle; this in theory is the maximum...
From a technical perspective the spread US/German spread differentials have looked corrective since Q418. In what is a textbook example of Elliot Wave in action, the spread completed a 5 wave sequence at the highs in November 2018. The retrace held 38.2% of the move, forming a Wave B and opening up room for Wave C to reach 2.179bps. We are in entering strong...