This page is all about inside bars and harmonic patterns, and I got 1 potential trade that is in line with 2 of the strategy! USDCAD completed a huge Cypher pattern, while like what I said on COST (another harmonic + inside day breakout combination yesterday), I believe harmonic pattern needs to go with reversal/retracement sign rather than just put an anti-trend...
Costco has been in an overexuberant decline since news of the Amazon and Whole Foods merger. Fortunately, this decline in the stock has brought it in-line with recent support levels and should begin to move upward once again. The stock has been in a consistent bullish trend since 2010. The recent decline seems to be part of the natural cycle for Costco. This cycle...
COST is still under huge selling pressure after another downgrade by BMO on Monday, and as I wrote last week, I've waited quite a while for a good entry for the company. Although I didn't really trade it,last week the BAT pattern failed as it gave such a small room for the stock to run. While when the X @ 156.59 broke, it did give good short continuation to make...
According to the chart, there is a Bat pattern on COST and it suggests a 159.63 (0.886XA); while the trade may already fail if you traded it perfectly right to give the out to 1cent below X(156.59). I've waited for a while for an actionable set-up to long COST, and I believe it's coming soon. In my opinion, COST is a kind of company that is both great for...
FOR THE LAST WEEK WFM HAS BEEN TRADING ABOVE THE $42 ALL CASH OFFER FOR WHOLE FOODS. I AM TAKING THE VIEW THAT WHEN A STOCK IS CONSISTENTLY ABOVE THE OFFER PRICE (ESPECIALLY IN AN ALL CASH BID) THAT THERE ARE OTHERS INTERESTED IN THE COMPANY. THE STORY HAS GOTTEN A LOT OF ATTENTION AND THERE ARE SEVERAL OTHER COMPANIES WHO COULD USE THIS (NOW THAT IT HAS...
Premium Selling For the umpteenth week in a row, there is little in the market for high quality premium selling plays. Screening for 52-week >70 implied volatility rank, you'll basically get one quality hit at the moment, and that is COST, which has dipped significantly on AMZN/WFM merger news. A few names are approaching that 70 mark, but they have earnings...
Long Costco on market overreaction to 170 and I'll leave some on and aim for 180.
After news of AMZN's acquisition of WFM, COST's implied volatility has popped here, with its implied volatility rank ramping up to the 67th percentile over the preceding 52-week period, and with background implied volatility at 21%, making a premium selling play potentially worthwhile. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 64% Max Profit: $93/contract Max Loss/Buying...
On May 17, Costco bounced off of its reoccurring support level. This has been solid support since August 2015. Costco also has earnings in focus this week. The estimated EPS is nearly where it was during the previous quarter's EPS which was a massive miss. A similar massive miss this time around will yield the analysis contained herein almost worthless. However,...
Short COST Entrance to rollback but there is a probability of reversal
Shares of Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST) and hammering on a triple top breakout. The level is $169 and if Costco can blow through that level, it has significant upside, maybe as high as $200. Don't jump the gun and buy Costco before it breaches the level as it may not breakout, instead collapsing lower. This is a possible breakout, not a breakout that...
Buy the retracement @ 161.79 with a target @ 165.89
SIMPLE REBOUND STORY? Inexpensive stock (P/BV=0.75) bullish consensus (BUY) and 25% target upside. Has found a gently up-sloping channel since Feb 2016. Currently trading at the bottom of channel. Shows technical signs of turnaround. Has rebounded less than the market. Seems to have found a floor at $28. PLAIN VANILLA LONG STRATEGY Buy at the market. Target...
We have a pretty low risk trade here. You can look to buy way out of the money calls for dirt cheap after the earnings report for $COST. Upside is crystal clear. Even though this stock isn't such a good value pick, as say, $KSS (which has been nothing short of amazing so far), it's still a good contender to catch up to the retail rally it's been lagging. Good...
SOUND BUT UNEXCITING FUNDAMENTALS Consensus is favorable on aggregate: Buy recommendation, +12.75% target upside. Numbers are compelling (5-yr rev growth +6.63% and ROE +20.35%) but growth has been slipping, esp. in TV. Valuation is un-demanding at a P/E of 17x (now less expensive than the market?) TECHNICALLY ON A DOWNTREND BUT COULD BE REBOUNDING DIS has been...
6 days ago I posted on a short trade on COST - Here is the update Target 1 hit. As we are in the blue zone now I will watch the price action carefully but would like to think the next target of 144.72 is achievable also. We'll see :)
I like it when price recognises my predictive trend lines, drawn when the high was put in on August 15th. Even better when it has been acting as a resistance angle. The black dashed vertical line here represents time. It's not telling me direction but suggests that's when another bout of momentum should kick in when price reaches it. The blue box is where I would...
Overall industry breakdown makes COST a potential candidate for short. In the technical side it is rolling over from a double top and broke Upward trend. Money-flow is heading down. We think it can decline to 140 area. You can check our detailed analysis on COST in the trading room/ Executive summery link here- www.screencast.com Time Span: 18:00” Trade...