Pros REER based TRY undervaluation: 47% National Bank stepped in to protect TRY Key to this position: limited market volatility and risk-on sentiment It is relatively expensive to short the TRY Cons Long-term fundamentals gloomy for Turkey
EURNOK is setting up a low volatility breakout on the weekly chart. This may be longer-term carry trading idea, but be sure to check your rollover and spreads because it's an expensive pair to trade and the volatility alone makes it troublesome.
USDJPY Daily Just Getting in Green - As SPX heads toward 3100 - UJ rallies
We have been hearing some negative sentiment in the market, about how the next recession is near and coming... The thing here is you need to realize where you are 'hearing' such news from. Ahem... most of the time, likely from the news or media. The question here is are they really that reliable? Well... based on our analysis (not the AUDJPY of course), we are...
Long UJ on 4hr Chart to 107.60 level + Carry trade for the weekend.
After clearing the stops of the most vulnerable long traders the paths to the north is cleared.
I am slowly building a big long position in TRY/JPY pair. Turkish Lira is quite under-valuated at these levels and despite the recent strength of Japanese Yen I think in the long run JPY will weaken across the board. This is a carry trade position which will bring lot of interest while running. At 8.5% current interest rate of Turkish Lira outperform almost all...
OANDA:USDJPY just had a breakdown not only breaking the weekly 200MA but also the lower support channel but nothing goes in one direction in the markets so I expect a pullback before another move downwards. The price is currently between the daily and weekly 200MA so I expect sideways action with a slight bullish bias in the short term. It will be Daily...
OANDA:USDJPY looks like its bouncing back up after a severe downmove forming a nice channel. 4H Timeframe View: It was able to pullback and even retest the 20MA in the 4H timeframe so it will be great if it touches the 50MA(yellow line) and hold above it for a confirmation of the short term uptrend. Long: 111.342 Stop: 111 It might still pullback to test...
My short at Friday's close...my currency wave indicates that oil is over bought. and has been since Christmas. COT reports shows new money (retail), MM, Chinese, etc.. are all long, at +seven to one (7/1), with record net positions. Both the timing and direction of the dxy/oil value wave, confirms this is a carry trade. Cheap money leveraged longs.. with little or...
looking to long audusd for a long carry trade. Lets see if this plans out well
Long above multi-year key price action support level 74.235. High confluence with very long-term key Fib level as well. Excellent long-term carry trade potential.
we have entered at 0.7536 stop will be at 0.72365 TP will be at 0.82078 long if u dare.
USDJPY has hit the previous monthly uptrend mode, and is currently stuck inside this zone. It would be a colossal feat, for Yen bulls to drive the pair under this key level, so I will watch it with keen eyes during this week. I'll update the post with intraday and daily/weekly charts as needed. It would give us clues about the future of the S&P500 and Nikkei, if...
The Turkish lira vs the euro is about to make a big move in either direction, with Bollinger band starting to squeeze. A big move down would open up a fantastic carry trade opportunity considering the swap. For a similar diea, consider the rand, but with the possibility of gold falling after the referendum, I prefer this trade.
This is a potentially nice long term position trade setup. Once this pair closes and forms a low above 8.50, it will be extremely likely to see continuation to eventually reach the target on chart or even higher. Fundamentals for Sweden are not looking good currently, and the yield in this pair might be a big driver for this uptrend. Pairing the Swedish Krona with...
The Swiss Franc has always been one of my favourite currencies to trade because it abides by support and resistance lines... except when the SNB intervenes.... ouch that one hurt. In any case, what you are seeing here are arrows point up from very strong resistance lines stretching back several months. The A arrow points up from the weakest support, the second...