Yes, you heard it, ticking time bomb. The us debt is 18 trillion$ and going up: www.usdebtclock.org Bonds started to have negative yields, meaning they will go down hard. Best explanation of current "35 year bond bull market" described by thestreet here: www.thestreet.com ...is here: www.zerohedge.com To quote something from this^^ article: " The bond market...
The ETF representing the Vanguard Total Market is down around 3% off 2015 highs, and about 4.5% off the highest point in 2012. First, the minor support level at 82.02 was broken, followed by the next minor support at 81.84. A move below the major support at 81.37 will break the rising channel going back to the September 2013 low, effectively breaking the...
For the big picture of gold, look at the monthly time frame. What is the story that the monthly chart is telling us? It is showing us that Gold has FAILED to make a new low after bottoming back in November at 109.67: December, January, February, March, April all failed to push new price lows and that is a sign that the sellers are not only extremely patient,...
Daily Support and Resistance for 10 year note
Daily support and Resistance for 10 year note
The 50% retracement of a prior move high can be a powerful support area. TLT is looking to find some key support areas after the February selloff. As investors sort out the Fed's QE decision, watching bonds is very important. Buy Delta 70 calls if TLT crosses above the 131.65 level with an upside target of 134.09 . Look to leave yourself at least 60...
Bill Gross from Janus Capital tweeted that he expects the the spread between the German Bund and the US 10y T-Note to fall dramatically. In my technical view, the spread has formed a head and shoulders and we could see a breakdown below the neckline. Then it would be off the races!
Daily Support and Resistance for June 30 Year Bond
The Treasury sells $13B in 30-year bonds, with a bid-to-cover ratio of just 2.18:1. Direct bidders took down only $906M of the auction, the smallest amount in two years. The 30-year Treasury yield is up a big seven basis points to 2.60%. The 10-year yield is higher by five basis points to 1.96%.
Daily Support and Resistance for June 10 year note by anmview.com
The yield on the US TNote 10-Year remains in a long term downtrend channel, looking to complete it's down wave (3) of V towards 0.70%. A break above 2.20% would invalidate this trade and a break above 3.04% would invalidate the whole bearish pattern.
10-Year US Treasury yield remains in a long term downtrend channel, in the process of completing downwave (3) of V near the bottom of the channel at around 0.70%. Key resistance that if broken would invalidate this bearish scenario is the 3.04% level.
Lately I’ve been hearing the word deflation everywhere, in the financial media, mainstream media, local tv stations and newspapers. It seems that deflation has entered the mainstream and even the proverbial shoe shine boy is talking about it. To me it looks like there’s a trade in there somewhere. To avoid basing a trade solely on anecdotal evidence and my...
Pullback over in the US Bonds ETF? One green weekly candle closing indicates a resumption of the trend higher. Or it could mean a long consolidation period. On Friday, the indexes had the most selling we have seen in a couple weeks. I got long TLT, getting an in the money MARCH 125 Call for 4.50$ and some out of the money APRIL 135 Calls for 90c Selling March...
It's been more than 6 years since the last major financial crisis occured in 2008. If we assume financial crisis come out almost perodically in every 8 - 10 years then I think it's time to start thinking whether we are close to the next one. 10Y US treasury notes have always been preferred investment tool for non-risk takers regardless to the financial...
While it doesn't look like gold is going anywhere lately, its priced is being pushed down by a rising dollar. Despite a strong dollar, gold has been moving sideways for a year. Global QE is reaching ridiculous levels and rates AREN'T RISING. Here is a view of the dollar neutral Gold and the relative performance of Gold priced in euros relative to the Euro currency.
TLT is hitting a yearly resistance level. RSI is coming out of an overbought area, MACD is offering a weaking trend, and Stochastics are dropping from the dreaded 80 level. I am still Long TLT but this is a quick chance to short or buy puts to protect your position. First Target: 21 EMA (129) Second Target: 50 SMA (125) Check out more @ www.enhancingcapital.com
It looks like the rally in bonds is finally done because it had 3 legs up and is forming a potential M pattern. The obvious target is back down into liquidity at the 200 sma. What this means for the market is that it should have a strong rally to finish off January in a positive note and a positive tone for the rest of the year. This final move in bonds...