This basic head and shoulders pattern after a huge impulsive move to the upside seems too obvious to be the catalyst for a trend change.
I would expect price to at least come up to test the previous high once again before it considers selling off.
I am expecting a strong sell off on AUDJPY but It won't go without a fight. We could expect the price to push up into a lower time frame order block before reversing to the downside. This would wipe out the majority of the selling pressure from the area of interest.
I expect JPY pairs to correct across the board soon, most of them are very oversold. On this pair RSI is very high even on weekly timeframe, same goes for CAD, EUR, and GBP to JPY. All these pairs are at resistance levels, GBP/JPY is actually surpassing the resistance level as well so that is further reason to see a pullback.
I am not entering shorts personally...
This is another trade that hit TP and I was waiting for a retrace for another chance to enter again. It seems to be breaking higher now without much of a retrace so we can monitor this for if and when it retraces back to this support. Once it turns back and then rebounds a long can be entered with a target of 83.928. SL just below the support area.
This has broken above the previous high and is now retracing back to test it as a support. A long can be entered here if we see the rejection. MACD and EMA's are bullish, especially on the daily timeframe. I have set 2 take profit targets, I originally was only looking to reach TP 2 but that could be too ambitious and who knows what can change in the time it would...
Selling a clip of AUDJPY here at 73.86 ahead of the 73.94 pivot and breakdown area that held on Friday. As long as 74.45 fibbo resistance holds, I remain a seller of the rallies going into the RBA meeting. RSI indicates that the market is overbought and the momentum should start to turn towards the downside.
I will sell a 2nd clip around 74.10 if we get there....
AUDJPY bounces off the lows however there is strong resistance around the 74.10 level. so my strategy remains the same (sell the rally's). I will sell a second clip around the 74.10 mark if we are to get there with a stop around 74.35 for all.
Short 1 @ 73.87
TP: 73.13 (fibbo support)