I suspect it could be a case of now or never for ASX bulls. Whilst it suffered its worst day in 9-weeks on Thursday, this could be part of an ABC correction and the 200-day MA is nearby as a probably support level, even if it breaks lower today. Futures markets shows heavy volume occurred around yesterday's lows (bears piled in around the lows) yet sentiment...
European and US Indexes bounced into the weekend setting up for a strong open for the Asian session. Some debt ceiling optimism and stronger than expected economic data helped bulls squeeze out recent sellers for the drive higher. The data showed strength in inflation and the US consumer which points to a resilient economy...but it also points to sticky inflation...
A handful of AI related Tech stocks supported the broader market in the US while the DOW continued to edge lower into a longer term support zone. US Debt ceiling talks took a step in the right direction albeit a very small one...I do not expect a deal until the last minute as US Politicians enjoy the limelight. The USD continued higher putting pressure on dollar...
ASX200 - 24h expiry Previous support level of 7129 broken. Short term bias has turned negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 7190 level. We look to Sell at 7190 (stop at 7230) Our...
A continued debt ceiling standoff pressured share market Indexes lower overnight as more traders were happy to lock in some gains. Indexes pushed down into support levels as traders went risk off. The UK inflationary numbers came out higher than expected pointing to more interest rate rises from the BOE. The US open was weak and bulls found no love from the FOMC...
Major indexes go into risk off mode as traders get nervous over the US debt ceiling deadlock. Economic news also weighed on share markets as numbers came out in line or, in some cases, stronger than expected which translates into 'sticky inflation' and further potential interest rates rises. US bond yields edged lower after pressuring higher for the past few weeks...
European and US markets edge higher to end with minor gains after a solid Asian session to start the week. US bulls are remaining on the sidelines for now as the Government once again argue over raising the debt ceiling. Economic data came out weaker than expected in the US again pointing to a slowing economy which I feel will be longer term negative for the share...
Markets came under pressure again on concern of an economic slowdown. Europe was hit lower with the DAX and FTSE100 looking weak. US data out weighed on the US open to pressure key indexes lower although tech and the Nasdaq remain relatively strong. US data out was mixed with unemployment claims higher and PPI showing strength. The uncertainty sent USD higher and...
ALK on the ASX could push higher into resistance and repeat a previous setup. Could resolve down but the Weekly chart is holding up nicely.
The possible 'sympathy bounce' towards 7300 highlighted last week played out nicely. Whilst we're on guard for bearish momentum to return as part of the seasonal 'sell in May and go away', we retain a bullish bias over the near-term. Prices have since pulled back from those highs and price action on the intraday chart appears to be corrective, in the form of a...
Whilst prices are expected to open lower, we’re on guard for a small countertrend bounce. A bullish hammer formed on the daily chart at the lower Bollinger band which found support at the 50% retracement level and 200-day EMA. A bullish divergence has formed on the RSI (2) within the overbought zone. A break above yesterday’s high could potentially see it retest...
Major Indexes in Europe were closed while the US ended with minor losses after drifting lower from the open. Manufacturing data out in the US came in stronger than expected which triggered (again) inflation and rate rise talk and saw USD and Bond yields spike. Copper and Oil were higher after the number, on expectations for buoyant demand while Gold pressed back...
Major Indexes were generally flat to lower both in Europe and the US as traders digest the UK CPI print and what may be in store for US inflation. The UK saw core CPI out at 6.2% vs 6.0% expected which is unchanged from the previous release. The BOE will not be happy with the figure as inflation remains high and they will need to raise rates further. This sets up...
Reverse C&H formed on the AU200. We had a very weak break above the neckline showing the bulls are not as strong as they ought to be. This comes with a Warning because if you zoom out you'll see an even larger Box formation (range traded area). One can place a stop loss but I would put it below the entire C&H to stop the chop. 7>21>200 RSI>50 Target...
Major Indexes were again relatively flat with earnings weighing on US markets while Europe grinded higher. The USD moved lower from the start of the Asian market session which supported commodities, namely Gold, while US short term bonds continued lower as yields edged higher. I expect the Asian markets to have a muted open with the ASX200 to open flat and HSI...
ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7316 (stop at 7266) Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A lower correction is expected. Short term bias has turned positive. We look to buy dips. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7310 level. Our profit targets...
Major Indexes were relatively flat overnight as traders digest US earnings and the continued rally into Bond yields. Inflation remains the main focus along with Company Guidance over the coming weeks. The USD continued the move up which pressured commodities and USD denominated currencies. For now, traders are happy to remain risk on into shares although they are...
Major Indexes were mixed heading into the weekend with Asian and European markets ending with gains while the US moved lower. US bond yields spiked higher and the USD found buyers to pressure up off support as the focus remains in 'sticky inflation' and more rate rises to come in the US. US earnings is under way with big banks finding buyers as they benefit from...