Since yesterday, by and large, was the first full day of working out the Fed’s emergency decision to lower the rate by 0.5%, today some results can be summed up. And they are generally disappointing for optimists. In theory, stock markets should have perked up and provoked a sharp increase in stock indices. But this did not happen, that is, there was growth, but...
Technically exhausted bulls and tonight we have Businesses & Employment reports incoming from the US (ADP, ISM, and PMI) which are some key data representing the US economic outlook. Any unexpected numbers can spark volatility on this major pair. We had a 50bp emergency rate cut which was a surprise last night from FED and the aftermath outcome for the king was...
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A week in the financial markets was held in the chronicles of the coronavirus. The epidemic is still under development. The number of deaths exceeded 700, and the number of deaths approached 40,000. A number of quarantined cities in China, many plants are idle, are already starting to disrupt the functioning of the global economy: some companies outside of China...
The main event of today will be the publication of official statistics on the US labor market. On average, experts expect a gain of 162K. This is more than it was in the previous month, but less than the average value for the last couple of years. In general, it is worth noting that the trend towards a decrease in the number of newly created jobs with each new...
The news that a coronavirus vaccine has been found so far remains more likely to be rumors and expectations. At least if you look at the official statistics on the number of deaths and cases of coronavirus. The number of deaths approaches 500, and those infected 30,000. And we are talking about official data. According to many experts, government figures are...
ADP buybacks are supporting the stock, and often driving price upward. The stock remains in a trading range long-term.
It is worth noting statistics from the Eurozone that was published on Thursday. On the one hand, as we predicted, Eurozone GDP came out better than expected (+ 0.2% q / q with a forecast + 0.1% q / q). On the other hand, retail sales failed (-0.6% m / m with a forecast -0.5% m / m), and industrial orders in Germany unexpectedly declined (-0.4% m / m with a...
As we announced, the demand for safe-haven assets increased significantly this week, which provoked both an increase in gold quotes and a strengthening of the Japanese yen. And if the reason for this was an increase in tariffs on imports to the United States of aluminium and steel from Argentina and Brazil on Monday, then on Tuesday Trump intimidated to introduce...
The US and China have traditionally been optimistic about the progress in the negotiations, but apparently, the markets no longer respond to this. If you yell “wolf”, in the end, people will no longer come. Something similar we can see in the negotiation process between China and the United States. They have been optimistic for more than a month, but there is no...
The publication of US employment data from ADP came out yesterday. However, the outcome did not form positions in the markets. The + 135K figure came out almost in line with forecasts (experts expected + 140K), so the markets did not get an answer to the question of what to expect from the NFP figures. Although in general, the vector is unpleasant for the US...
The US dollar confidently dominated before the ISM index in the US industrial sector outcome, but after failure followed. The Australian dollar responded to the actions of the Central Bank. We observed decreased after the rate was reduced (the Reserve Bank of Australia yesterday lowered the rate by 0.25% to 0.75%. This decision was expected by participants in...
ADP has shifted to a Platform sideways candlestick pattern, and is experiencing some Dark Pool Quiet Rotation™. However, there is underlying buying activity of Smaller Funds, Professional Traders, and Investors. The candlestick pattern is compressing on the upside of the Trading Range at this time.
Everything develops according to the scenario described earlier - Johnson’s defeat in Parliament is an occasion for the pound growth and its purchases. However, it’s too early to relax. Yes, the pound still has the opportunity to grow for not just a hundred points, but a thousand or even more. The key threat to the pound has not disappeared yet. So you should...