If the 10 Year doesn't hold this technical support then expect it to go a lot lower.
Here is almost the exact same trade from a signals and trigger standpoint. It's basically the same formation, but in a different market. ---- What is different about this one than from gold? Quite a lot actually. It's better to go through that kind of stuff on one's own, but what I would really want people to notice is this bond trade looks like it broke out...
The US10Y activity on the weekly chart has been forming a bullish pennant. This is consistent with the overall economic environment, which also supports rising interests rates. It will be interesting to see how this chart devleops, and if we can see interest rates approaching 2.25% by early July.
Looks to me like rates will continue to go up. The question is how far...
If you're late to the party, like I am, 10-year has been getting ridden way down in '21. I see the 'M' reversal double bottom. There are some subtle signs of bullishness, including flattening 200 MA. It's been a steep downhill run, and I would expect the momentum will continue with another spike low. but. every trend comes to an end. I would much rather be the...
Bonds yields climbing again, we could get 2% B4 the fed steps in and announces YCC & "saves" us from the 10yr inflation narrative. ;)
This is what I see for the 10-yr: a parabolic- type move as repo rates go negative and banks go short on treasury bonds. As of right now there is nothing stopping the yield form going to about 2%, although I do believe the Federal Reserve will intervene before that happens.
After Jerome Powell gave zero support to the bond market, 10-year treasury yields continued to climb higher to the level where foreign investors' attractiveness is getting more pronounced. Thus, the Dollar gets more support in the short-term to rebalance the bond market to a higher yield regime. On EURUSD, we are sitting at a long-term support level based on the...
Man oh man what a past couple of days of life.. The bottom trend line for the channel has now become the resistance. Still trading within the purple resistance/support zone.. I don't expect it to veer too much out of this maybe finding strong support around 1.35-1.38 Looks like we are in a descending triangle and with what Elliot is saying it seems like this...
The 10 Year Treasury yields have bounced aggressively from all time lows. However, we are not at the August/September 2020 lows which coincides magically (lookup the gold number found everywhere in the Cosmos) with the 38.2% fibo retracement from the highs to the lows. If rates go sideways or correct from here, we're likely going to see a bounce in the Nasdaq...
Back on Sept 2019 I turned bearish on the economy and markets. We officially entered a recession on Feb 2020. Before COVID hit, Covid took a garden verity recession into a depression mostly because of its gross mishandling. The yield curve at the time was Flashing red and everyone said its different this time. I posted this chart back then prior to the spike...
This is what has happened 100% of the time over the last ~20 years when it has been this oversold <31.81 on the 3D RSI If this trend breaks we are most likely in a new paradigm and the bond market could be on it's way out, losing relevancy in the overall picture of finance/markets due to structural change somewhere we haven't seen yet (good luck trying to guess...
The risk free rate took a breather yesterday, and then again today, as (yesterday) the 10Y auction was a smash success, followed by a near record 30Y auction today. We saw $38 Billion in demand in the 10Y auction, driving yields lower, toward the 1.11% level. Then after the 30Y auction today, the 10Y yield was hammered back to 1.08%. Members of the FED made their...
Bonds climbing the stairway up on H4. See you at 1% soon.
📌 Treasury yields move higher ahead of Fed speeches. U.S. government debt prices fell on Friday morning as investors monitored rising cases of coronavirus and polls ahead of the U.S. election. the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose above 📈 1% to trade at 0.6904%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond increased 📈 by about 78 basis points to trade...
10Y breaking out of parabola - rates spiking up.
loreal will x5 in a couple years, this is to keep track of my 10 year portfolio where invest 10million into one company and hold, then sell and compound growth over the following years
Probability: 65% Swing Stop loss and Take profit on the chart. Normally i use my SL & TP manually following my own strategy and Tactics.