The plan to play the SPY is to buy this Wave 4 dip in the 173-170 range. I do not want to be in this trade if we start breaking the 165 level so I have set my stop below that. I think nearing the presidential elections takes us lower and markets get real choppy during this time so my entry will be planned and timed very well during this time. Once a president is...
The 10-year yield is sensitive to falling inflation. The 10 Year yield curve (2.22%) normally starts to rise at the start of a Fed tightening cycle as bond yields start to rise. Historically, the Fed has started raising rates to combat rising inflation. That isn't the case right now with the CRB Commodity Index trading at the lowest level in 14 years (ETF DB CRB...
All info on the chart, looking to long AUDNZD on the 30min chart.
Something I noticed today while look at the 10-yr bond in general (reflecting loan rates). If you didn't already know, the price of the 10-yr bond directly affect any and all loan rates available. Mostly of course affecting housing loans. That's another point aside, but it does look like the price of a mortgage will be expensive over the summer. Anyway, what I...
The US dollar index was a thing of bubbly-beauty, gaining over 25 percent in a year. Traders thought that after seven years, it is now time for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Unfortunately, reality is set it. The Fed has always claimed to be data-dependent. First, the potential for a rate hike was when unemployment dropped to 6.5 percent. That came and went...
Here we see a Bearish Gartley pattern completed on the Usd Jpy chart. As all of my trades , you will notice that the pattern has completed suggesting a reversal, in the Positive deviation range, which means that we can assume that the market is going to reverse back down into negative deviation. Some people would consider this price action or channel trading , I...
Bill Gross from Janus Capital tweeted that he expects the the spread between the German Bund and the US 10y T-Note to fall dramatically. In my technical view, the spread has formed a head and shoulders and we could see a breakdown below the neckline. Then it would be off the races!
Expect Steady Rise with Minor Pullbacks on Daily till 132.
The yield on the US TNote 10-Year remains in a long term downtrend channel, looking to complete it's down wave (3) of V towards 0.70%. A break above 2.20% would invalidate this trade and a break above 3.04% would invalidate the whole bearish pattern.
The one with the lowest X is a bat which is devolping. Then it's the purple bat which just completed. Then its a butterfly completin at the same level. It would contonue the downtrend to complete a daily gartley after a retracement cause of all of these patterns :)
Price action has maintained a falling direction with passably uniform cycles below the 10 ema and trend line resistance offering entries below conspicuous high test bars. The moving averages are in their correct order and fanning out pleasingly. Tonight's set up is also an entry below the high test bar that has rejected resistance at ~17.60 and bounced off the 10...
STOCH STATES VOL INCREASE QUICKLY , MACD D IS ABOUT TO DOWNTREND, RSI IS OVERBOUGHT RANGE WAY OVERBOUGHT!!!! IF YOU LOOK AT THE OTHER DAILY CHARTS WE CAN NOT BREAK ABOVE THE RESISTANCE YET TOUCH OUR LOW ON A DAILY BASIS TOMORROW THE FED CAN EITHER DEVASTATE OR RALLY THIS MARKET HOWEVER THE DAILY CONSOLIDATION IS NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO ENCOURAGE A DOWNTREND. ...