The matter still requires deeper analysis, despite the absence of wide-ranging movement today. The recent decline in bonds did not help boost gold prices. The yield on the two-year US bond is currently at a support level of about 4.8% on the one-dimensional chart and may look to rise. If the Federal Reserve maintains a tight policy, gold may struggle to rise....
During the previous period the market was trying to price its expectations of a less than three rate cuts during the course of this year, giving up on the Fed's announcement from the latest FOMC meeting. The meeting held on May 1st, showed that the market was right in its assumptions, considering that the emerging US inflation might put halt on rate cuts this...
With predominantly bearish price action during the week, intraday sentiment is more shifted towards a continuation to the downside at this current time. Due to higher time frame narrative, I am looking out for a retracement to 4.563% hourly fair value gap. Candle body closure below 4.455% will negate the idea.
The weekly range spans from 4.570% - 4.739% and with the weekly EQ being tagged alongside buyside getting swiped, I am scoping out for the daily order block which is near the weekly sellside @ 4.593% and the second target being the lows at 4.570%. Some form of a pullback into the lower displacement weekly fair value gap is a projection for throughout the...
There is clear 5 wave impulse down and clear initial impulse up which has a-b-s correction. What else needed for long?
I will start forecasting full years in advance and provide updates from there finally understand how the bond markets works dont be fooled folk 2024 nasdaq is crashing market is overbought the recovery was too quick easy come easy go and only the informed are preparing their shorts if u appreciate my work like, tip, comment, follow
The critical support level to watch here is the 50-day MA at 4.38%, as a failed break below this yield will allow yields to spike to 5% off the back of a continued sell-off in US long-term paper despite the Feds efforts to aid the US bond market. Keep an eye on the tail in this week’s US 10-year note auction! The markets were hit by a dovish FOMC statement last...
This chart shows the bullish SMT Divergence happening across the US Treasury Bond yields. According to the ICT methodologies this could indicate a potential continuation for the DXY Index higher.
Rough map pf rate expectation without pretension of accuracy for dates nor timing...
Disclaimer 1: This is a bias view. I think that 20Y yield (as well as 10Y) will be going down. Disclaimer 2: Note that this is the 2nd time this year I am calling for longer duration yields to go down (linked in this analysis). Analysis portion: 1. H&S formation. 2. Completion of double combination of zig-zag.
As you can see there is a strong correlation between this predictive chart algo and the bond market steepening predicting the recession before the reason why. Now maybe this time is different. Maybe the massive stimulus during covid will give a false positive here. I just doubt it.
Golden Cross approaching for US 20 Year Bond Yields in advance of the Federal Reserve's Wednesday Meeting and Friday's Unemployment and ISM PMI Reports. TLT to low 80's over next few weeks?
Short term #yield is higher. Long term has turned & are catching a bid. At the moment it doesn't look like they're going down any time soon & that is not good longer term. Was speaking with loan officer yesterday & they believe they must lower before election. But, what if it goes higher before it goes lower? TVC:TNX
The early morning Asian sessions saw some peculiar moves with the USDJPY pair falling to a low of 154.56. There are rumors of possible FX intervention from BoJ to save their vulnerable Yen. Simultaneously, there was strong buying pressure for the US 10year which is pulling yields down aggressively. The US 10-year yield is showing signs of pulling back following...
Released data for the US economy during the previous week could point to the stagflation moment in the US during the course of this year. Posted data for core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price index show that in March it increased by 2.8% on a yearly basis, from 2.6% expected by the markets. At the same time, the first estimate for the US GDP Growth Rate was...
1O YR yields may have topped and are retracing. Yields are rolling down ⤵️ TLT is up ticking 📈 as yields come down as expected 🧭
In case you missed the memo.... US 10 Year bonds have a higher yield than Greek 10 Year ones..
My projection for this week was a bit late but nonetheless, bullish projections of lowest displacement fair value gap was the target and yields achieved it, topping out just before CE was met @ 4.696%. Shortly after, yields witnessed a sharp paintbrush retracement mid week and never closed out higher than the highs printed on Wednesday 17th April 2024. On...