s-h-o-c-k

s-h-o-c-k Updated 

Market has topped out. Bearish div a good indicator for past recessions. Rising wedge pattern. If it breaks down, things are really bad.

s-h-o-c-k Updated 

Recession incoming.

s-h-o-c-k Updated 

Idea invalidated if close above 10300 resistance.

s-h-o-c-k

Bottom might be in at around 7150, suggesting fulcrum bottom and reversal to 9000. Fib 0.866 typical level for reversal (bearish gartley target). Bears running out of steam right now. Bull:Break above 7800 validates scenario. Bear: Break below 7100 invalidates scenario. Full disclosure: I'm long since 7300 and will add to my position upon confirmation.

s-h-o-c-k Updated 

Even the most notorious permabears (all of which missed this bullrun entirely) starting to talk about leveraged longs was your signal to start thinking about exit strategies. Inverted head & shoulder seems invalidated and it looks like we fell for the classic fib 0.236 bulltrap that we get in all crash patterns - also in 2014. If we get rejected by the...

s-h-o-c-k

Longtime uptrend channel.

s-h-o-c-k

Just saving this idea for later.

s-h-o-c-k

See chart.

s-h-o-c-k

Top is in at 9600, rising wedge will break down soon, might get a hypodermic top / bull trap at best if lucky, then retracement to either 8484 or 6800.

s-h-o-c-k

Bullflag target

s-h-o-c-k

Strong dollar, failed breakout of descending triangle. Invalid if manages to break above resistance.

s-h-o-c-k

I basically post this scenario for myself just to save it and re-visit later

s-h-o-c-k Updated 

Falling wedge about to break up to 9500, then retracement to 8200 - 8400 before lift of to 10600.

s-h-o-c-k

Short term bullish, we're in final phase of accumulation: Possible bounce from 8200 - 8400 with target 10k. Long term bear: Expect new bull market in summer 2019.

s-h-o-c-k

I strongly believe that we've seen this years bottom at 6k and that we are currently in phase B of macro accumulation according to Wyckoff. Medium term, I expect us to retrace now from 9k to around 8400 and then we'll up go to 11k region. From there, we might drop to 7500 where I will buy aggressively and hold for the rest of the year.

s-h-o-c-k

I expect ETH to pullback to 460 levels to Bull case: A) Re-gain strength to push up and lead to a breautiful bull run, aiming for (and possibly breaking) the log downtrendline at 550. Bear case: B) If 460 doesn't hold, we might re-integrate in the downtrend channel and see new lows. Considering how strong ETH looks right, this scenario is less likely, but it...

s-h-o-c-k

BTC broke out from the falling wedge and is currently in consolidation around 8000 from where I expect a slight retracement to around 7500 - 7600. Bull case: A) If we hold this level, we might break the resistance at 8200, break out of the log downtrend line and reach for the falling wedge targets of 9k / 11k. Bear case: B)If 7500 doesn't hold, we will break...

s-h-o-c-k

Called this bull run when everyone was heavy bearish. Wedge targets: 9k / 11k.