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If the apr20-jan21 fractal continues to hold
BTCUSD
, 1DShort
BTCUSD: If the apr20-jan21 fractal continues to hold

Just observing the fractal from the previous bull run. Be prepared to be shaken out both ways

Readjusting a bit, 85k in sight
BTCUSD
, 1DLong
BTCUSD: Readjusting a bit, 85k in sight

Not 100% sure if Bitcoin regains support line immediately. Initial rejection can look like this^

Bitcoin correction relative to SPX
BTCUSD
, 1W
BTCUSD: Bitcoin correction relative to SPX

Either SPX is going up and Bitcoin will catch up later, or both are going down (before a new leg up, mid March 2024)

My humble guess for the next 3 months
BTCUSD
, 1DLong
BTCUSD: My humble guess for the next 3 months

1. Get back over "support" line 2. Complete the symmetry i.imgur.com i.imgur.com

Dream scenario if ETF gets approved
BTCUSD
, 1WLong
BTCUSD: Dream scenario if ETF gets approved

Dream scenario if ETF gets approved is a return to the support line

First up to 40k, then down
BTCUSD
, 1D
BTCUSD: First up to 40k, then down

Each of these BTC/SPX tops tend to end that way. However, the last 2 years we spent in a bear market, so maybe the pattern stops here. Anyway, I don't see BTC climax until 2025, more consolidation is needed, and this is the most logical setup to cool down a bit.

Support becomes resistance: The final bull run
BTCUSD
, 1WLong
BTCUSD: Support becomes resistance: The final bull run

I have become convinced that Bitcoin is fundamentally off course since the early 2022. Don't miss the next bull run which should climax in Q2-Q3 2025. What happens after -- we'll figure out later.

Bull and bear markets
BTCUSD
, 1W
BTCUSD: Bull and bear markets

Bear markets last around 60 weeks. If this holds we have 2 years of what can be considered bull market ahead. A lot of time to fill, so I wouldn't expect it to go up in a straight line from here...

If breakout fails -- more sideways
BTCUSDT
, 1D
BTCUSDT: If breakout fails -- more sideways

The charts are the result of a brute-force search for similar PA patterns over different timeframes in all of Bitcoin's price history. Use your human intuition to judge which of these scenarios looks the most harmonious. Some traders are able to stare at a blank chart for hours until they get a hunch, but I am not one of them. To synthesize something completely...

31k by 31th July
BTCUSDT
, 1DLong
BTCUSDT: 31k by 31th July

Fractal voodoo: imgur.com i.imgur.com i.imgur.com

Possible recovery for Bitcoin
BTCUSD
, 1WLong
BTCUSD: Possible recovery for Bitcoin

SPX crash, Celsius, Terra/Luna, Binance buying 2B worth of corn to dampen the fall -- we cannot predict any of these external factors. But at this point this is what I would like to see to remain bullish on macro Bitcoin: i.imgur.com i.imgur.com i.imgur.com

Bullish bear market
BLX
, 1WLong
BLX: Bullish bear market

The slope of the orange lines. This will be the first time where both the floor and the ceiling lines are going up. There will be less "bear" in the coming bear market, which ends in 2024.

Bitcoin long term outlook for 2023-2024
BLX
, 1D
BLX: Bitcoin long term outlook for 2023-2024

It has been an underwhelming bull run and an underwhelming bear market to match (I don't believe in 80% corrections, the cycles are history) My (temporary) party program for the next two years: i.imgur.com

One more dip to 27k
BTCUSDT
, 120
BTCUSDT: One more dip to 27k

Fractal voodoo: i.imgur.com Bitcoin respect logs support: i.imgur.com i.imgur.com

Sideways for 1 month
BTCUSDT
, 1DLong
BTCUSDT: Sideways for 1 month

Fractal voodoo: i.imgur.com Log support: i.imgur.com i.imgur.com

Bullish
BTCUSDT
, 1DLong
BTCUSDT: Bullish

Fractal voodoo: i.imgur.com i.imgur.com i.imgur.com Let's try this

A bit more upside to 50k followed by a major bear trap
BTCUSDT
, 1D
BTCUSDT: A bit more upside to 50k followed by a major bear trap

Fractal voodoo Last week: i.imgur.com Current: i.imgur.com

Up only, 55k in March
BTCUSDT
, 120Long
BTCUSDT: Up only, 55k in March

Fractal voodoo i.imgur.com i.imgur.com i.imgur.com i.imgur.com

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