We have had a steady and well defined downtrend since the bullish news on Sunday
Today's inventory number was lower than expected creating a spike above the downtrend
Depending on how this spike holds above the downtrend line, we may have continued moves to the upside
On Sunday night we broke through the resistance level which has held the market for the whole of 2016 (red dotted line)
The rally was halted by a resistance level dating back to February 2015 (lower dotted blue line)
If we can now stay above the red dotted level (2016 resistance) and use it as support, we could move further up to the $60 mark
A very bullish open to the new week of the back of NOPEC news. There is still plenty more room for upside, as at the last OPEC meeting we did $5 in a day. So a potential upside target for oil is the support/resistance level from last year at around $56.67.
How we get there will be a matter of debate, some traders see a pullback, other traders think we'll carry on ...
I'm looking to go short this morning, considering there may be more profit taking, and a risk off attitude before today's oil inventory data. Using the downward trend line as my stop, if we hold below, will look to target $50.
If we break above the downward resistance trend line (shown on chart), I'll reconsider for a long trade opportunity