A strong drop here and other markets like Bitcoin are primed for a final push lower, before what should be a long term reversal!
Didnt get the retracement you'd typically like to see, so we could see a sneaky slight push lower before putting in the actual move lower as depicted here, but so far it seems like we aren't getting that deep pullback and the waves are all there on the lower fractals...sooo this could be super bearish for quite some time.
Great R/R on this entry I like the potential for a typical "flat correction" here on a larger fractal wave, which i have labelled WXY and its subwaves all good enough to expect a completed 5 wave move (impulse) lower here, highlighted by the pink wave count.
I think most wave traders would agree that plotting out the major direction and its general wave structure isn't that hard to do, but its when you get into the smaller fractals/waves where it can be challenging to make the right decision on a day to day (intraday) basis.... this was hard for me to accept (nearly 10 years) that you're not going to call the market...
After plotting my waves to the best of my ability, I do see us moving lower still for a number of reasons. To be honest with yourself, you have to be able to see both sides of the market you're trading and manage risk accordingly. This would be a potential run higher, if these major waves have completed to the down side, even though i think time will show this...
A stretching out of the smaller waves into larger ones. Quite a zoomed in view of multiple higher fractal waves. Here, looking at the lower time frames, you would normally be expecting a respectable correction/retracement of the previous move. I present that when the lower timeframes or smaller fractal waves are filling a larger fractal wave, that is a direct...
I always have ideas for both buy and sell ideas but i am seeing the sell side waves filling out much more clearly and i would expect a nice drop here, into the halving date and set up a nice long-term entry buy position.
keeping a close eye on the EURUSD and always waiting for potential completed waves to take an entry!
Would like to see bitcoin take off and i think it will in the near future, but this larger corrective wave to the downside would give a nice reasonable correction on the higher time frames.
I have reason to believe Bitcoin is long, in the long-term, but for now I see a bit of a correction that should be expected. This would be the view of the approximate expected drop, before and good run higher. Keep in mind it is acceptable to just continue higher through my wave rules and it would simply change the counts slightly. **have a plan and trade that plan**
A decent perspective of what I would consider are the most relevant waves (fractal) to be viewing for Bitcoin right now. If we move higher, I'm hoping for this to play out. Not to the time or price exactly, but the fractals filling their respective waves. I have posted Sell ideas that have different potential wave counts should we move lower from here. I am...
Although i can see a nice drop coming in that would fill corrective waves a bit more "text book", if we're to move up from here I would use my fractal method of counting. Fractal wave counts are all the same as standard Elliot Wave, except when a market is creating a larger fractal wave, or a bigger wave than the data is displaying currently. With that in mind,...
I highlighted in yellow the expected finish to be an hourly move down to complete larger cycles. This should set up an excellent long term buy opportunity through my variation of Elliot Wave Theory (fractal shift).
the time is now :) corrective waves have completed after a "fractal shift" (my wave theory, based off EW) and this should be a long term position until this fractal has completed its 5 wave sequence or 1 motive/impulse move higher
USD should be on a steady decline for, either quite a long time OR quite a big move, whatever comes first to reach targets and fill waves.
12 and 24 bars from the monthly. (not plotted 11, 22, 33, 44,) showing 55, 66, 77, 88 and 99 bars from the weekly. drop to 34-30k.
exactly how it gets there... a gap up, i would imagine; but my target is the 1/3 harmonic before April 2022