VireshK9

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Joined VireshK31
Markets Allocation
30 % forex 20 % stocks 50 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
0O9Q 10% | 1 AUDUSD 10% | 1 BABA 10% | 1 USDRUB 10% | 1
VireshK9 VireshK9 XCUUSD, 1W, Long ,
XCUUSD: Correlation between USD and Copper
24 0 0
XCUUSD, 1W Long
Correlation between USD and Copper

If we're truly in a weaker USD cycle, copper is likely to get a natural tailwind from just the fall in the currency. That's when you don't take into account the supple conditions and the expected demand growth for copper due to OBOR, global growth and potential Trump infrastructure spend.

VireshK9 VireshK9 USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USDJPY no longer keeping up with 10 year yields
33 0 1
USDJPY, D
USDJPY no longer keeping up with 10 year yields

Interesting that USDJPY no longer keeping up with movements in the US 10 year yields. Could signal that USD pessimism is extreme or that the market is beginning to anticipate that the BOJ will move up their Yield Curve Control targets from 0% yields.

VireshK9 VireshK9 1/USDRUB, D, Long ,
1/USDRUB: Long Ruble
7 0 1
1/USDRUB, D Long
Long Ruble

The Ruble continues to lag the movements in the both Brent and Crude oil over the last few months. Could indicate the possible chances of further decrease in Russian interest rates, however, if Oil continues to rise, the chances of the Ruble appreciating much further should increase.

VireshK9 VireshK9 USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Ruble has a lot of catching up to do
16 0 0
USOIL, D Long
Ruble has a lot of catching up to do

Short USD/RUB looks to be a good position at the moment. Ruble not yet really moving to confirm the higher oil price, but could move considerably to the upside in the short term if oil remains stable at these higher levels.

VireshK9 VireshK9 AUDUSD, D, Short ,
AUDUSD: Short AUDUSD
21 0 1
AUDUSD, D Short
Short AUDUSD

Excessive positioning beginning to unwind.

VireshK9 VireshK9 USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY vs RUT vs XLF
10 0 1
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY vs RUT vs XLF

It all points higher at the moment, however XLF may be getting carried away.

VireshK9 VireshK9 XLF, D, Long ,
XLF: XLF looking like a good long position here as a short bond proxy
19 0 4
XLF, D Long
XLF looking like a good long position here as a short bond proxy

If you expect an uptick in inflation like I do in the US, the Financials could be a good way to play this. With USD down more than 10% this year, commodities having risen by more, and continued labour market tightness, inflation could surprise to the upside over the next few months and $XLF could be the proxy to play this, rather than being short bonds - which ...

VireshK9 VireshK9 0O9Q, D, Long ,
0O9Q: Alstria - German Office REIT poised for a long term break out
4 0 1
0O9Q, D Long
Alstria - German Office REIT poised for a long term break out

Hugh Hendry, Bernd Ondruch, and Steve Diggle have laid out the German real estate case in depth. You can find out more here if you aren't already aware: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JkQw8NRFLbA If you take into account the rigid supply, the tendency for asset prices to increase in Germany due to the Euro, and lastly Brexit, it makes perfect sense to invest ...

VireshK9 VireshK9 BABA/AMZN, D,
BABA/AMZN: BABA/AMZN
47 0 1
BABA/AMZN, D
BABA/AMZN

Chart showing BABA/AMZN over the last few years. BABA is breaking out from multi-year lows. I think this pair continues to perform as BABA's growth accelerates and Amazon gets beaten down with it's high valuation and reliance on the Western consumer.

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