SpeculatorsTrading

SpeculatorsTrading

The ECB is changing tone and removed their their strong vocabulary against hiking rates in 2022. suggesting a rate move is in discussion on a board level

SpeculatorsTrading

Short and hold S&P500 on a touch back into November election. -Uncertainty around election win -Stimulus impasse

SpeculatorsTrading

AMEX:UUP TVC:DXY As FED ramps up liquidity injection via Bond purchases. My verdict is the added liquidity will be a drag on USD. The fall will gain momentum as unhedged foreign bond investors need to close out positions and repatriate out of the US.

SpeculatorsTrading

Weekly Insidebar pushing higher towards 22500 level. Risk on continues, JGB yields bottomed. Path higher is clear

SpeculatorsTrading

yield differential pointing lower eurjpy

SpeculatorsTrading

Our PRop data points out Dry Whey down trend to resume. Expecting lower levels for month to come.

SpeculatorsTrading

Our CFTC prop research points out the Bloomberg commodity index is headed lower. This has a wide ranging effect on global indices and sectors that are heavy weighted trading or using Metals, Natgas and Oil.

SpeculatorsTrading

FOREXCOM:EURUSD Treasury-Bund spreads are narrowing again. With Eurusd lagging yield spreads the pair is weeks or maybe days away from a rally. In the short term however, REBA-SOMA days and EU data likely to hold the pair down and push past support and new yearly lows.

SpeculatorsTrading

DJIA is headed lower tracking investors rotation from stocks into 10yr T-bonds. I am seeing the index breaking down towards 22-21k. Oil has already shed considerably and metals are trading lower too which effects Dow Jones Industrial sectors. Technically we breached a weekly Insidebar to the downside and traded back which gives us an opportunity to get back into...

SpeculatorsTrading

With WTI declining nearly %30 in a short time span and global growth slowing. Investors are long US TBONDS as they are willing to tolerate lower yields from bonds in anticipation of lower inflation and slowing growth. Bonds rising will have a wide ranging market influence. From yields falling, to equities under performing to Japanese investors seeking domestic...

SpeculatorsTrading

I believe Russian aggressive wheat export campaigning has left their supply side depleted again. With rising wheat tenders across the globe and global cooling on top of an end of bullish accumulation phase as per COT analysis the path for higher wheat prices is wide open. Technically the 4h chart fits snugly in a diamond pattern, which upon breach almost always...

SpeculatorsTrading

As a speculator I look into the logic behind $JO supply and demand. At price levels it changes hand and the climate outlook. Lastly the technical outlook and CFTC positioning. United states imported %66 of it's JO demand from Brazil in 2017 and as citrus greening and grove renewal is continuing to cap Florida producers. Leaving the U.S heavily dependent on...

SpeculatorsTrading

CFTC data shows YEN bears were at extremes a few weeks back. They have started to unwind their positions and thus accelerating Yen's upside. Nikkei225 which is in close inverse-correlation with YEN is tracking lower too. We expect market participants to continue unwinding YEN shorts from over -$12bn short to -$7.5bn, which would transcend into a 2-3 handle move...

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Last week options volume pointed at increased downside protection. Which translated into a yen rally or cadjpy drop. This theme is still in play on top of that. opec is relaxing supply cuts and thus driving oil lower over the coming month, which will drag CAD$ with it. I line with that we had a weekly bearish engulfing bar pointing at 82-80 area. For more free...

SpeculatorsTrading

With more clarity and safety on the regulatory front, the resumption of crypto euphoria is set to resume. With that in mind my VSA analysis on the daily shows clearly a bear exhaustion. Well supported demand from any meaningful dips. The bearish climax candle shook out all the longs. Right after that strong dips bounced back in the form of a daily bearish...

SpeculatorsTrading

FX:EURJPY Speculators Trading methods ensures we are always on the right side of the flow. Knowing where there are more sellers than buyers, and staying informed, holds the true key to being right. Japanese investors repatriation ahead of the financial year is driving yen higher and inevitably pulling the pair lower before euro finds a bid.