ShapeShape1

ShapeShape1

I said 2 things earlier but I changed my mind a bit - the first thing was that I wanted to wait on Monday to do a new post because of the geopolitical situation and the halving, what happened last night convinced me that the floor was here (of course I can be 100% wrong) - second thing is that from my last post, I said we could chill some months because nothing...

ShapeShape1 Updated 

I think we will be pretty chill now for at least the next 6 months, based of the precedent moves in 2020 & 2016 took some profits (again) and will refill for each fib time for some sun and vacations now here in northern hemisphere ;)

ShapeShape1 Updated 

not sure about this one but as always im giving it a try, I think we gonna reach 55k then take a long break till fall/winter 2024 I decided to do a bit different and to put the 0.236 fib at 25k, from ~15k5 to find this 55k high Also same pattern as early 2023, following the pattern, BTC might do a pullback to ~46k5 Sry if the chart looks a bit messy Cheers ~

ShapeShape1 Updated 

I'm now following the 20% "rules" BTC was doing past years (red circles) and will refill a lot each time BTC drop 20%, ~36K for this one, around 0.786 fib Arrows are not related with time Cheers

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Pattern recognition already worked a lot on that asset. so, as already mentioned on my BTC analysis I think we will see more lows According to this chart dump should start tomorrow, a Monday, its also on that day that XRP started to dump early November, and we could see 0.5 this week I can be totally wrong but I give it a try TP: O.5 any invalidation of this...

ShapeShape1 Updated 

TP1 from our last idea reached, TP2 soon ? Higher high etc etc we want to be sure that that grey rectangle is now a strong support I updated my fibonacci but im not totally sure the wave is totally finished

ShapeShape1 Updated 

TP1: 35K TP2: 40K I'll just follow the arrows and fibs Arrows are not related with time We want to avoid H&S formation

ShapeShape1 Updated 

3 lil shorts opened - TP at 0.786 fib - TP at 200 daily MA - TP at 0.618 fib I'm still bullish for Long term, but we need some weeks/months of rest Check July/august 2015 and 2019 for an idea on what can happen Check the first part of this analysis I posted 1 month ago

ShapeShape1 Updated 

BTC did a very nice rebound from this 0.618 fib - breaking 200MA 4H - making a higher high those 25K constitues a great support also because of the double top that happened before at this level. Whats next ? - I don't expect BTC to go under this fib for the next weeks, maybe a retest of 200MA 1D tho - My theory since several posts is that we pass this blue...

ShapeShape1 Updated 

3 days ago BTC hit 200 weekly MA @ 25k I'm concentrating now my view on the 31k mark, which represents the 1.618 fib of this precedent move AND a big support zone from the retracement from May-July 2021 From here we can see 2 possible ways : - A breakout of the weekly 200 MA (25K) and a move up as fast as the precedent one to 31k, to maybe meets the line of the...

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Exactly as the last time, im going to refill at the fibo retracement lines (already did for the 0.786) - watch out for the weekly 200MA at ~25800 - watch out for the daily 200MA at 0.382 fibo ~21400, note that the last time, BTC went up from those numbers (10th March) - IMO we're not gonna see 31K again before crossing this upper channel line, the purple area Cheers

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Very nice bounce from daily 200 MA What I expect : - A test of the 31k EOY/early 2024 (but things are getting pretty fast to be honest) - at some point, the upper line of the channel we are in will be tested, probably at the 25k, where the circle is, I expect a break out of this line - I expect BTC to stay between 19k (I would like 18 for a good refill) and 25k...

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Channel broken, I'm not shorting anymore cryptos but I'll refill for each fib, at the circles My view is still 31K for summer, EOY

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Hi, a year since no posting, I was just waiting for those 16k from my last idea We may have now reached the lows (?) I think its the first time I see 200 weekly MA broke (June), so there will be maybe several retests around 24k before being able to break it again in the other side. And maybe this is the sign we will see further lows 16k must hold

ShapeShape1 Updated 

So far, BTC moved (almost) where we expected First target was 19k5 (200 daily MA) so maybe we will be able to see another leg up before some kind of retracement. Moving out the channel we are would be a good signal (upper black line) Our target is still 24k from my last post 16k must hold

ShapeShape1

Short term Short o-range lines are possible target to re entry for longs 24K is still the next target for mid term 16K must hold

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Lil Update from my precedent idea. I updated the path, targets we're not really correct + timeframe adjusted, we are now at the A point. From here 2 possibilities, - slightly bullish for a retest at 50k+, B point, then C - bearish for a retest of 30k, directly to C point Cheers

ShapeShape1 Updated 

Still following the crash pattern of 2018 and its working VERY WELL. It's a resume of my previous posts with XRP but I'm switching to BTC because it's more predictable. Seems that there is a rejection of the daily 200 MA, + bearish daily divergence. 1. So, we might get back to daily 50MA around 36K OR the previous low around 38888.8888888, this low will be called...