Carlito101

Carlito101

Long oil here with a reasonable target back in the $80s and possibly bottom completed up til the $150 zone

Carlito101

Nobody seems to think that BTC could ever come back below $4k. This is despite many tech stocks already having taken out their COVID lows. We've had 3 massive waves up now, with ever-increasing media frenzy at the top of each one. Who would even be left to buy on a 4th wave? A true flush and reset therefore makes some sense. Add to that the macro...

Carlito101

We've had nearly a full month of UP-only FOMO buying in EU stocks, but has the macro changed? No. Have we averted disaster? No. Are we heading into an economic tornado and a deep winter of discontent? Quite possibly.

Carlito101

Gold has confirmed a weekly close below 1680 triggering the "double top" It looks terrible tbh. But, my concern is it looks so similar to the 2013 top, there's no way it's gonna play out the same. Fractals don't tend to do that. I'm looking for support zones to come in here and invalidate this pattern, potentially forming more of a bull-flag on the monthly...

Carlito101

There's an evil penguin in the books. Watch out! Might be a good buy opportunity to watch out for in early Q4.

Carlito101

Lotta people saying the markets look toppy these days. Yea they might be, but they also might be just about to go ballistic. Watch for the trajectory changing.

Carlito101

Neat little comparison with 1/USDSGD from back in 2016. This can be how reversal patterns form. If oil manages to keep strength into mid April and move into a choppy shockwave that kicks people out, then theres a chance of pumping and reversing even more damage above $34. If he continues to follow a similar structure to SGDUSD then we can expect new lows...

Carlito101

It's do or die for oil here. Interesting to see how he pans out over the next few years. Either oil is really dead here, or he's about to rip some faces off

Carlito101

Little bit of complacency showing on this market bounce and the fear is never too far away from spiking on bad news stories. At the same time we now have corona mooning and NYC shut down its hard to imagine how much worse things could get, and the VIX already climaxed hard. Blowing up north of 80 again would invalidate and would be pretty awful for the world.

Carlito101

Either this bad boy gets dragged up by the rising stock market or we're in for a final clear-out before the real move. Lotta fomo buying got caught on the Disney plus hype so lets see

Carlito101

Human emotions playing out. Sometimes you just gotta sit back and appreciate the beauty

Carlito101

With the markets going increasingly risk-on, any bullish price movement in gold is suspect. So far this year it's had a strong rally out of that accumulation zone, but soon we should see whether it was a simple fakeout or a continuation move to new highs. Gold is still at risk of giving back all gains received in Q3 2018 if he fails this range completely....

Carlito101 Updated 

Sentiment is starting to turn but still a lot of bidders here. However there is also a high degree of caution so it could work in theory as a bullish scenario if the move outa here is violent enough and not massively telegraphed. At stake here is the potential continuation of the 3k->14k bull trend so if this happens the market makers want to make sure that as...

Carlito101

UK has been rather weak with all the gnashing of teeth over Brexit, while the US leaves the world in the dust. Here is the FTSE 100 priced in US dollars as a ratio to the Dow Jones. The BOJO election came right at the tip of the spear and the FTSE is now screaming up. We could be in for a counterwave in relative strength with a 2b back into this range for...

Carlito101

Major US indicies finally got their convincing breakout after the dump of Christmas 2018. However the Russel has lagged the whole way and has failed breakouts several times (signalling big market pullbacks). Now however the breakout looks more convincing and may have a higher chance of confirming as the bigger indicies continue to push all time highs. Markets...

Carlito101

Capitulation and Anger stage of this very violent crash cycle on STMP has been reached - now we await the depression phase before potentially following the path into next pump cycle as indexes and markets around the world go risk-on

Carlito101

This shockwave still has people divided but you can't deny a 40% candle is bullish AF. Some of the more bullish scenarios here: How can the MM pump this asset without the majority of people being involved, keeping them skeptical of the run?

Carlito101

if he can start pushing that 5.8 level it would be a signal that the market is going hella risk-on and would mean that new highs in the Nas/Gold ratio are more likely. This could translate into a wicked stock market pump with a sluggish or even falling gold over next couple of years.