AlexanderGotay

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Bought 100 RCL for 118.25 Ex-Dividend is tomorrow and dividend is .70, so If I have the stock by tomorrow I will receive the dividend. To enhance the trade I also Sold the 115/119 Strangle for an additional $1.1 with 3 days to expiration (That's how long I will be in this trade) Max win would be $185 for the covered strangle plus $70 for the dividend = $255 My...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Dividend Capture strategy for easy cash flow on XOM Exxon Mobil pays .82 per share quarterly and the ex-dividend date is this Friday (2/8/2019) the dividend pay date is on 3/11/19. So yearly Will get $3.28 (.82x4)for a dividend yield of 4.4% not bad. But by selling the ATM Put for $1.02 I will increase the premium plus dividend paid for the year to $4.30...

AlexanderGotay

When trading in a small account, it is very important to be efficient with the capital used. That is why, even though is not the optimal trade we are forced to trade using defined risk strategies like Iron Condors. This is the continuation of the portfolio started in our How to trade options series, where we start a portfolio from scratch. We started a $5,000...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

This is a short Iron condor Example for Accounts that can't do naked options. Instead of a Strangle We can buy the wings ($5 wide minimum) and make it an Iron Condor. This will defined our risk and our capital need it for the trade is just $325. This is a neutral strategy with a little downward skew given the rally the last couple of days. Sold: 147 Put 168...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

After a Gap down, Sold the 254 put for $4 for a 75% probability of profit. We make money as long as the price stays above 250. It needs to move another 6% down for us to start losing money.

AlexanderGotay Updated 

New Year, and the market continues to go up with no mercy. With the over extension of the 20 EMA, Eventually it will have to make a correction, so I am trying to pin the down move for max profit at the nearest high volume area. Implied Volatility is still very low with the VIX at ~9 and IVR of 14, but we have to keep trading. Would make money as long as we stay...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

QQQ have outperfomed SPY and with an IVR of 42 we are getting at least something for taking the risk against this Raging Bull Market. Also we have divergence and already over 2 standard deviation move in the last 20 days to help us make the case to go short. The Trade 42 days to Expiration Short the 165 Calls For $1.22 Credit Probability of profit 72% PS: I...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

The Utilities sector have been underperforming. With IV Rank of 67.5 and down around 10% since December we are getting at least some premium to sell. I don't want to risk a move upward, so I Sold a Big Lizard (Straddle at 51 and bought the 52 call) to eliminate the risk to the upside. This is a high probability trade above 70% and we make money as long as it...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

The Implied Volatility Rank of IYR is at 65 and with a down move of around 6% in the last 20 days, I expect we are going to start a correction soon around the value area. So I decided to sell a Strangle to collect some premium. With 37 days to expiration I Sold the 80/76 Strangle for 0.95 credit. That will give me a 58% probability to make money, but if I close...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

After a brief moment of Backwardation this week in the term structure of the Vix futures, we came back into Contango. To me it looks like there is still some fear and buying protection is not getting cheaper, especially with earnings coming up on some of the big dogs. I believe volatility will start to come off during the next couple of days, so I want to add to...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

Yesterday We got a close above the 200 Moving average and EWW is right inside the Volume area, and right at the Point of control. So I expect two-way action between buyers and sellers, giving me a chance to make a neutral trade. With EWW IV Rank at 57, I sold the 54/50 Strangle (30 Delta) that expires in February, to take advantage of the high...

AlexanderGotay

With over 20% move to the upside in the last 29 days, I think is time for OIH to have some sort of pullback or correction. The last 5 candles couldn't close outside of the Upper Bollinger Band, so it looks like is losing momentum and most likely retrace at least to the midline. Implied Volatility Rank is at 54 so I sold the 28/27 Put Ratio Spread (2 Short Puts...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

I don't have any Bitcoin, but there are a lot of people wanting to know if this is the beginning of the end or a buy the dip opportunity. So here is my take and forecast for the next couple of weeks. We are now in the middle of the correction and right at the point where it is the moment of truth. So this is either the continuation of the C wave down or we are...

AlexanderGotay

If an investor wants to buy stocks, a better way to do it is Selling Put options. What are Put options? A put option is an option contract giving the owner the right, but not the obligation, to sell a specified amount of an underlying security at a specified price (called Strike Price) within a specified time (called Time to Expiration). This is the opposite of a...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

I am betting the market will be ranging and we can get a quick win by next week. The trade is like an iron condor, but with 2x the Calls vs the puts taking advantage of the skew and giving us more space to the downside. Our break evens are far away from the expected move at 5969.20 and 5648.1. This gives us a high chance of making money about 80% of the...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

This is a directional play, BABA looks over extended and I think we will get a move back to the 20 EMA or even lower sometime between the next month. So I sold a Call vertical spread for $2.25 ea. This is a directional play and is basically a 58% probability of making money. Our max loss is $275 per contract and max win $225. Will look to close it early. The...

AlexanderGotay Updated 

With a small increase in the VIX today and FB still around 50 IV rank I added this trade to my FB positions to slowly start to have trades expiring in oct. The trade: Expiration date - Oct 20, 2017 Long 150 Put Short 155 Put Short 185 Call Long 190 Call Price: $1.10 Max loss: $390 Probability of profit 67%

AlexanderGotay Updated 

The Euro have been on a tear and is due a correction. However I think it will be slowly and gradually start a new range, giving us time to take profit of a volatility contraction. With 50 days to go I am selling a strangle of the DEC17 Euro Future Symbol /6EZ7. I am giving me some more space to the downside skewing the Strangle a little bit down to around the...