Australian Dollar
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR FUTURES (CONTINUOUS: CURRENT CONTRACT IN FRONT)
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Earlier suspicions of this pair rising have not proven to be fruitful, and we are infact continuing our drop with this pair. RSI Momentum is dropping and we have somewhat of a price drop as well. Fib goals are at 1.362, 1.359 and then at 1.357. Invalidation seems a far way away. Not financial advice.
More US Dollars for Kangaroo Dollars seen here. There is far, far to go before major resistances, most notably in the for of the 3-?5 line. This is just a transposed 2-4 support line that can be used to extrapolate things. Fibonacci targets are another thing I highlighted in cyan and that I am looking at patiently. The liquidity problem seems to have been...
The 4H chart is showing the formation of a possible double top. If the price continues to fall down to the neckline, we could see a nice short trade set up here. The MACD and the RVI indicate that price may temporarily reverse as bears come into power. Confirmation? I will wait for the price to break the neckline before entering a short trade.
We can see some nice structure formed on the 1H TF, currently rejecting my support zone, and structure line, also at the bottom of the RSI - potential retest and long position upcoming.
Short position, entered this trade once ema's had crosssed over looking to profit from the right shoulder forming towards the support level .
MY OVERVIEW ON THIS FX PAIR, THE MARKET WILL CONTINUE THE TREND DOWNWARDS, price has not been able to break out of the resistance zone and also a Doji candlestick indicates the bulls have finished their run. I have added how I think the trend will continue in the example shown in the chart. please add your opinions below and tell me what you think.
Simple 12H analysis on the USD Weighted Index (not DXY) Seems as though we are creating a 1-5 elliott wave, and reacting strongly to the drawn trendline. I expect the market to form the final wave, completing the elliott pattern, and for the impulse to be exact same size as the first wave, which will then bring us to the marked zone, which is a very key weekly...
After quite a volatile Thursday, the overnight trade was calm and almost uneventful. The Retail Sales data set the Aussie up: the sales did not grow at all in September after having fallen by 0.6% in August. AUD/USD slid below the 0.77 area and touched the lows at 0.7669. This was a bearish sign which may lead to the consolidation in the current range 0.7670/40 at...
The Aussie marked the fourth day of falling. Actually, that is what usually happens when the CPI Index of a country falls instead of growing. Especially if the data comes far below central bank’s expectations of 2-3%. In fact, AUD/USD has been losing its positions since September. But the traders think there is still a good chance of a rate hike from RBA taking...
All the majors entered their consolidation ranges today ahead of the NFP report except AUD/USD. In spite of the fact the dollar is not in its best shape, AUD/USD is inching south. The Aussie has been under pressure ever since the Asian session, when Australia published the retail sales report with highly disappointing results. Sales fell 0.6% to 2.1% m/m. Here we...
The moves of AUDUSD this morning are indicative. The Reserve Bank of Australia monetary meeting confirmed the regulator is not happy with the recent sharp rise of AUD. Moreover, the central bank claimed rising aussie would lead to slower economic growth. However, the pair tried to move higher on the comments touching 0.7958 this morning. The market expected from...
AUDUSD has gained 150 pips during a couple of days. But what war the trigger, and is it really the start of a new rally? It’s always worth watching the market sentiment, and its reaction to economic events. If an indicator came out above expectations, and the currency was not able to show a strong appreciation, it’s the sign of a looming retreat. Today we saw...
AUDUSD has neared strong technical support at 0.79, and the speed at which the pair breaks it through will determine the speed of further AUD depreciation. We need to remember that Australian economy is very sensitive to local currency appreciation, as it hurts trade and tourism activity due to more expensive goods and services. Given China is one of the key trade...