VIX will be faking people out as it falls back to Sub $18 - I am very long volatility on the longer term timeframes and mostly at the end of the year, but I believe with Biden forgiving more loans than most, combined with the Demos need to keep "Fear" aka the VIX/Volatility Suppressed preferably under $20, I expect suppression manipluative tactics on ++$18 Rises...
As we look at the VIX we note the historical impact the level 20 has had in the past. The last two times the VIX peaked above 20 were October 3rd 2023 and 30th 2023 which were the two bottoms of the SPY in the last 6 months. Using VIX and noting the significance of action above 20 is very important to understanding the psychology of the market.
Use 20 as a key...
The VIX weekly is spiking, and a bull flag is forming, which could trigger a breakout from the wedge. Higher lows forming and wedge getting tighter.
More volatility is returning to the market. Risk off 📴 mode activated.
This usually translates into more bearish bias in markets moving forward ⏩🐻
the detail is shown in the above Idea.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Harmonic pattern using Fibonacci tools.
in beginning of year 2023
Butterfly of VIX Daily Trend Fall from 29 to 14 .
at last weeks of year 23
buyers crab rose to reach 23.
in year 2024
Butterfly of VIX Weekly Trend probably Will...
50 DMA should easily cross the 200 DMA if Iran will retaliate and it looks like they are set to do so.
Can't stand politics, but we have to respect the pillars in order: Macro, Fundamental and finally Technicals,
the closer Weekly BB to resistance, the better odds for VIX break out. Whilst everything is possible, I don't think it has the power or potential to break out.
TLT feels like bottoming somewhere this summer? depends on the inflation metrics. But FED itself believes inflation is coming down.
Often these one-time events are bought by the smart money. Depends if...
📉 VIX Update - 4/8/2024: The VIX has touched around $17 temporarily, but my $16ish resistance trend line holds firm. Short-term target: $15 psychology. Stay tuned for further analysis. #VIX #MarketAnalysis #CandlestickNinja
Vix has been all but forgotten in an election year and a democrat controlled fiscal policy... Good fundamental and/or technical entry point as Fed's Kashkari hints at no rate cuts at all. Early this year markets priced in 6 25 basis point cuts now odds less than 50% we get only three. Jobs report in 2.5 hrs. will be the tell, be pre4pared to act if we have a...
Check out my latest analysis on the VIX (Volatility Index) for 4/2/2024. I'm taking a bearish stance over the short term, anticipating a decline towards $12.50-$13. Stay informed with my insights and analysis on TradingView! #VIX #Volatility #MarketAnalysis
TVC:VIX
Third 7-years cycle of the VIX index reducing starts this year and will long till the end of 2030.
In my point of view, this means, that the level of the greed starts to grow year-to-year, which will have an effect for the potential of the long positions in the long-term period of time.
#investing #stocks #idea #forecast #furoreggs #trends #index
Pair : Volatility S & P 500 Index
Description :
Consolidation Phase in Long Time Frame
Completed Impulsive Waves " 123 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure
Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Retracement
What will fuel this next Bull Market?
#AI and exponential gains in productivity seem like a fair bet.
The technology won't manifest properly in the next few years of course.
But the speculation and new companies will.
20 years ago we saw the trendline of the #VIX break
coming out of 9/11 and right around the time of the Iraq war
Military spending, Lowering...
Join us for a comprehensive analysis of the VIX Volatility Index, exploring its current position in the danger zone and our expectations for a bounce towards $16. Discover key insights into market volatility and potential future trends in this in-depth update.
This Rising wedge is something I've been monitoring on Vix for a few weels now and usually when these break they will retest and if they don't break through you already know what to do :)
I'm expecting us to fall tmmrw due to Powell at 9am to 518-520 area on spy I expect us to retest the trend line I have drawn in the Tan color and then reject and will give the...
While bears keep calling the top, VIX will crowl to the 1.27 downward extension fueling this beautiful (painful for other) Equity rally. Aiming for end Q2 before serious reversal
The market's recent rally (indices are up 25% since November!) feels frustrating. It doesn't seem to reflect the economic realities we're facing.
Inflation is cooling, but it's still above targets.
The labor market is strong, which might seem good, but it could be unsustainable with high interest rates.
We're seeing layoffs, which contradicts the market's...
