GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅15’ order block created
✅15’ wick rejections via order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅1’ break of structure
✅1’ bearish engulfing candle fill
✅Sell limit order on the 1’ candle fill
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD trade ideas
THOUGHTS ON THE GBP/USD MARKETGBP/USD 1H - Yes we are wanting to see weakness in the USD this week, however price may trade us lower initially to clear the orders fully before the move higher.
We have seen that price has broken structure fractally on the 30M timeframes, again this could be short lived and this could be just to clear the inefficient structure before taking us higher again, missing the zone we have marked out below.
This is why it is important that with every trade we place we wait for relevant confirmation before entering to avoid getting caught out. I will be waiting for price to trade us up and breaking structure fractally before I look to take the market short.
Even then it will only be an intraday/day trade, one that I will look to close by the end of week. I will keep you all posted with anything I do on this pair. SIT ON YOUR HANDS AND WAIT!
GBPUSD 23.04.2025If price clearly rejects the 1.3335 level (with a strong bearish M15 candle), one might consider a SELL setup with a potential stop-loss above 1.3350 and targets around 1.3310 / 1.3300.
If M15 closes above 1.3345, this could indicate a potential BUY opportunity, aiming for 1.3375 with a stop-loss placed below 1.3320.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, just a personal opinion based on chart analysis.
GBPUSD needs to fill an imbalance at the upsideGBPUSD has had it's short term retracement after a rally to the upside. It is now looking like a reversal back bullish at least to the last unfilled imbalance at the 1.3365 area. It may also break though it and continue to go up due to the dollar weakening.
GBPUSD: UK Data Back in FocusGBPUSD traded to an 8-month high on Tuesday at 1.3424, as a new wave of dollar selling swept across FX markets at the start of the week. This time driven by fresh uncertainty surrounding US economic growth and by a barrage of social media comments across the Easter Holiday period from President Trump that seemed to challenge the independence of the Federal Reserve.
Now, as we look ahead to the remainder of the week, UK economic data is in focus, with the latest April Preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services readings released at 0930 BST on Wednesday. These are potentially the first survey updates that will start to show the impact of US tariffs on UK economic growth, business sentiment and inflation, making them potentially important drivers for the future direction of GBPUSD.
They could also shed some light on whether the Bank of England may be able to cut interest rates, as many traders hope, at their next interest rate meeting at the start of May.
Then, on Friday, UK Retail Sales are released at 0700 BST. This release will be important in showing if UK consumers are still spending despite rising unemployment and stubbornly high prices. If they are, this may be taken as a positive for the UK economy and for GBPUSD, while any disappointment could lead to GBPUSD retesting lower levels again.
Technical Update: September 2024 Highs a Key Resistance Focus
So far during 2025, GBPUSD has seen a price recovery of nearly 11%, although as already discussed, this may be due more to broad based USD weakness, rather than outright GBP strength.
Even so, latest upside has neared 1.3434, the September 2024 failure level, which may prove something of a line in the sand this week. Closing defense of 1.3434 may help determine where next directional risks lie.
Much appears to depend on this week’s UK data and reaction to it, but traders may also be focusing on how the 1.3433 failure high is defended on a closing basis. Successful breaks may lead to a more sustained phase of price strength, but without such moves, risks could turn lower again.
However, what are the levels we may need to monitor over coming sessions?
Possible Resistance Levels:
As we have established, traders after what has already been a strong recovery, may view the 1.3433 high as important, with closing breaks required to suggest risks to continue attempts to push to higher price levels.
If closing breaks of 1.3433 do now materialise, it might be an indication of potential to challenge 1.3640, the February 2022 high, even towards 1.3748, equal to the January 10th 2022 rejection level.
Possible Support Levels:
With the 1.3433 price high remaining intact, Tuesday’s weakness from this area could now see focus shift back to support. If these give way, it might in turn point to possibilities of a deeper retracement of April strength.
The first support may now prove to be 1.3313, equal to half the April 17th to April 22nd strength, with closing breaks perhaps suggesting further downside pressure. This could suggest possibilities towards 1.3148/1.3203, a combination of the April 7th low and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April phase of price strength.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Cable H1 | Approaching an overlap supportCable (GBP/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.3200 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 1.3110 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.3415 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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GU-Wed-23/04/25 TDA-Heavy pullback, now what?Analysis done directly on the chart
Genuine opinions from people who've been following
my analysis:
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Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
BullI was trained to trade what I see and not what I think. It’s all type of confluences that say a sell. But my break and retest is playing strong , so I did put in a buy for this pair because it broke my consolidation and res tested it so I believe it will go up now but let’s see. I’m prepared for anything.
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart displays a GBP/USD 30-minute timeframe with a bullish harmonic pattern, possibly a Gartley or Bat pattern, forming a potential long (buy) trade setup.
Here’s a quick breakdown:
Green Arrows: Indicate the harmonic pattern completion and potential entry point for a buy.
Red Arrow: Marks a previous resistance or pattern completion level.
Blue Lines: Represent the projected price movement after pattern completion.
Green Zone: Target area (Take Profit levels).
Red Zone: Risk area (Stop Loss level).
Two Take Profit Levels:
First TP is at the
GBPUSD - NEXT STOP @1.34343? [UPDATE]TRADE UPDATE
As planned for the week price traded to my POI just as i'd anticipated (without getting to my DOL first) so i took my Long Position and it got to my TP for a quick 1:3RR.
KEY TAKEAWAY
I followed my plan and waited for price to come to my level without chasing it(even after the quick spike up to begin the week).
Patience Pays!
GBPUSD - NEXT STOP @1.34343?1. MARKET OVERVIEW
GU has been on a very strong uptrend since January so i'm expecting that momentum to continue this week aiming for the old high @1.34343 which is also the Previous Year's High (PYH) and a Key Level.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Draw On Liquidity(DOL): 1.34343
* Point Of Interest(POI): 1.32411 - 1.32500
3. TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'll stick on being bullish for the rest of the week until price gets to my target which is the PYH(Previous Year High). I'll execute on my buys only if price trades to my POI before trading to my target, on the condition that price trades higher early in the week and gets to my target(without first trading to my POI) i'll cancel my trade order and switch neutral on my BIAS.
4. FINAL NOTE
Patience is key, i'll wait for price to come to me and not chase price.
Tell me what you guys think about this in the comment.
Massive Rally, Massive Resistance – Time to Sell GBPUSD?The last two weeks felt like a rollercoaster for GBPUSD. It all started with a gap down on Monday, April 7, but that weakness didn’t last. The pair filled the gap and then rallied hard – over 700 pips!
🤔 Key Question – Is the move sustainable, or are we topping out?
Now the pair is approaching a massive resistance zone, one that dates back to 2019. While the bullish sentiment and USD weakness could push it toward 1.3500, this isn’t a breakout I’d blindly chase.
📉 Why I'm expecting a reversal:
Price is entering a long-term resistance area – a major barrier.
700 pips of upside happened fast – a pullback is likely.
USD weakness might fade, creating downward pressure.
1.3450–1.3500 is my key sell zone.
📊 My Trading Plan:
I’ll be watching for clear signs of weakness near 1.3450 – such as rejection candles or slowing momentum. If the market confirms, I’m looking for a 500 pip move down, with 1.3000 as the first major target.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD Analysis with ICT ConceptsMy current outlook on the British Pound is bearish, with an expectation of lower levels in the near term.
A key level I am anticipating price to reach is the Weekly Open, which has not yet been touched.
Yesterday's price action seems to be confirming this potential move towards the Weekly Open.
Therefore, I am actively looking for confirmed short position opportunities to align with this view.
Trade safe!
GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 4:51pmGBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity, Price Action & Trade Setup
Right now, I'm analyzing GBP/USD at 1.33287 in the context of institutional behavior, technical indicators, and upcoming economic events. My focus is on institutional liquidity absorption at resistance, monitoring key levels for an optimal entry.
Technical Overview
Resistance Zone: 1.33895–1.34234 has been a critical level where price struggled to break higher, suggesting institutional absorption.
Support Zone: 1.33200–1.33150 remains an area where buyers could step in, but if it fails, the next downside target is 1.32677–1.32864.
Momentum Indicators: RSI (66.15 on the hourly) signals strong momentum, but MACD shows slight bearish divergence, hinting at trend exhaustion.
ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 73.43 confirms trend momentum, but the hourly ADX at 17.12 indicates slowing movement, signaling potential institutional positioning.
Price Action Insights
Lower Highs Forming: Each successive high has been failing, reinforcing the idea that sellers are stepping in at resistance.
Liquidity Absorption at 1.33895–1.34234: Institutional players might be taking the other side of buy orders, meaning a trap for retail longs before a drop.
Bearish Rejection at 1.33450–1.33600: If price pulls back to this zone and prints a long upper wick, it confirms sell-side control.
Volume Profile & Institutional Activity
Volume Clustering at Resistance: Previous highs show volume absorption rather than continuation, reinforcing a bearish bias.
Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching sell-side aggression near key levels to confirm institutional pressure.
Accumulation/Distribution Patterns: Weekly AD is negative, indicating some distribution rather than accumulation.
This approach ensures I'm trading with institutional positioning rather than chasing price movements. I remain patient, watching key zones for liquidity absorption before executing.