Recently gold is moving in a range without any direction around our supply zone but the most important part of the story is that it's respecting the downtrend line starting in February. The main reason for a rally currently is the shaky situation around the US-China negotiations, the higher tarrifs kicked in tonight while the meetings with the Chinese delegation...
Seen some positive price action in gold since May 2nd bottom. With the equity markets in absolute turmoil, coming weeks may be favorable for gold. Regarding the price chart, we are seeing some higher lows in the 4h and 1h time frame. A breakout through the the resistance line and a retest should be kept a close eye on.
Obviously i believe history repeats itself and patterns appear several times throughout history specifically in bubbles. Every time it will differ because of market conditions being different but both follow a similar general path. Just having a bit of fun analysing some historic movements.
Gold has broken above the black trendline and has held as support in the last days. Prediction is it will test again which should trigger the buy. Profit should be taken at major resistance at 1365 USD. Stop is at 1279 USD.
The lure of $1240 is keeping bears active and buyers out, but there are already so many indicators favouring a turn / bottom that the r/r is likely to swing to the Bulls sooner than most think.
Any catalyst at all here will create quite a major short squeeze.
Whilst a lot of focus was on the diagonal support structures for gold, including a bottom at $1240, I prefer this more technical explanation.
The price has basically completed 3 drives down:
1) 1370 (top) to 1303
retrace to 61.8% line at 1328
2) 1328 to 1284 (1.272% extension)
retrace to 78.6% line at 1317
3) 1317 to 1261 (161.8% extension) =...
Failure on Friday to move much lower than $1290 and certainly not even challenge the trending support despite the NFP data tells us the bottom is truely in. I think this is now an accumulation zone whilst we await FOMC later in the month. Will slowly trend up until then.
The RSI on this 4hr chart has bottomed, we've seen it touch the channel bottom & I now think we will see a sustained push to break $1363 (black horizontal) which is the present resistance. With USDJPY looking set to head lower the conditions seem likely for a surge during the Asian session once we reopen after the weekend. Stay long to $1363, then buy more at the...
The above is my non-professional, long term view of gold in logarithmic scale. Given that the metal still seems to be in a phase of indecision, I will have to wait and see how this consolidation resolves before deciding on the likely long-term direction of the gold price.
I like this area for support. Was major area of resistance prior to the recent breakthrough plus the 50DMA has now caught up to this area. Add on that the general political and world uncertainty and I don't think the markets will stray lower for now.
After a clear rally, Gold finally reached the support again. Almost every gold trader has the level of 1,300 on the screen and in this area, there is an enormous number of orders, on the one hand stops for all traders that are already long positioned, but also pending orders for long trades. In addition, the level of 1,300 hits the 38 Fibonacci level. Every...
Alternative read on this chart to my prior post on Gold is that we have a head and shoulders in play here and the completion of that move would give us a retrace back towards the $1300 area.
RSI is oversold so this isn't my preferred option but is a possibility nevertheless.