The overnight range was the name of the game today. As mentioned earlier, we were looking for a potential break in either direction. After establishing the initial balance, we saw a test of the overnight session low (5019), which was successfully defended. Subsequently, buyers entered the market, leading to a push higher in $ES. This move broke the high of the...
So again, I cashed out my trade just above 5000 as we fell last night following the Israel drone strike against Iran. Most of that dip appears to have resolved itself, at least for the moment, but those geopolitical issues will likely be crucial to the potential of a market fall in the coming days. I go into it in the video, but major Earnings are next week, and...
Buyside at 5095 has been taken. If we do not drop hard from here and the candles body on the 1h closes above 5102, we think that the next upside target will be 5021 in ESM2024.
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 23rd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls and bears battling at key resistance after yesterday's recovery day. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5040 (major), 5032, 5020 (major) Major Supports: 4996 (major), 4959 (major), 4938 (major), 4903 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5057 (major), 5081 (major), 5102...
ESM2024 long trade, stop and take profit in place as seen on the chart. This is no financial advise! Do not risk real money on any idea published by us.
All signs point to a pullback in the market. I think JPM/AMD and some other big names might even be our leading indicator. The only real pullback target I could come up with is a 50% retracement which is fairly common in the market and within trends themselves.
Will sellers maintain control in the S&P 500 going into the weekend? Buyers did come into the market on Thursday but failed to hold and sellers pushed the market lower. Another possibility is sellers taking profits on Friday as we go into the weekend.
Sellers named in control in the S&P 500 on Wednesday. We are approaching levels that buyers have entered the market in the past. So, be cautious on the short side.
The S&P 500 is in the neutral zone trade with a bullish bias. The expectation for Tuesday is for today range trading inside of Monday's range with a higher close.
The previous day's low (5038) is currently supporting the bulls. Interestingly, we have not been able to break through the overnight high (5057) yet. A breakout above it can set new impulses, with the next targets being the upper #BouhmidiBands (5069) and the previous day's high, which is even higher at 5095. However, a break below the previous day's low (5038)...
My plan today for SPX levels; My main level is 5011. Bull Plan If we open above 5011 and stay above 5011 we can test 5027 with 5043 and 5053. Bear Plan If we open below 5011 and stay below 5011 we can test 5000 with 4994 with 4988 (this is my preferred move at opening, then adjust). Stay Frosty!
Earnings may push the S&P 500 higher on Wednesday. 5135 would be the next price objective that you'd want the market to close above.
Capitulation begun from last Thursday and if you was short throughout the beginning of this week, you would be sure to have booked a healthy piece of that explosive movement. Not one day passed where ES printed bullish on the daily timeframe after last Thursday’s high @ 5257.50. Fridays bearish sell off was met by bullish resistance at the Jan 31 2024 daily...
Trading Plan for Wednesday, April 24th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining control after yesterday's rally but price action becoming more complex after a trend day. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5095-5100 (major), 5082, 5076 (major), 5067 Major Supports: 5056 (major), 5047-45 (major), 5027 (major), 4996-5000, 4966 (major), 4945-49...
The " Volatility Valuation Index " proved to be quite reliable ... again.... Mind you this is a SETUP tool, to locate EXTREMES in Volatility. It is NOT a SIGNAL tool, to be used for entries / timing. That said, its accuracy sometime can be impressive. But even under these circumstances, I do not use it as a timing tool (Works across all markets & timeframes)
Price action after thursday night's geopolitical spike returns to normal. After the spike the ES retraced to the 6pm open creating a text book ICT bearish breaker pattern. Reaching down to the NY Midnight opening price. Then bouncing up reaching into the first Pd Array above equilibrium (FVG) creating another bearish breaker pattern which re-established the...
This is nothing new TBH. Strong work on the weekends pays off during the week. Today we had another downward trend day that saw sellers become buyers and then back to sellers again trapping bulls. This should add conviction for an overnight leg down. Several pullbacks appeared that would've paid off today as well.
Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5111 Uptrend (4/17/2024) Lower High 1Hr - 5220 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5203 Downtrend (4/12/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 5197 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Lower Low 6Hr - 5250 Downtrend (4/2/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5204 Downtrend (4/4/2024) Higher...