This is why the markets will not crash in the near futureFirst things first: This is about the longer-term direction of the market. We're not advising against short positions here. In the short and medium term, they can lead to significant profits. However, given the seemingly fragile nature of the current markets, I'd like to point out the COT (Commitmen
VIX (MARCH) --> Friday overshoot?Trade for 11th March (Mon) - 12th March (Tue)
UX1 went a bit of overshoot with Tech sold off, which also influenced by the weekly Option expiration (rather than Non-farm). However, there is no indication on fear in the market. Our model suggested it will still go compressing till Tuesday (post CPI d
VIX (MARCH) --> In defense mode now?Trade for 4th March (Mon) - 5th March (Tue)
With such a hot market in place (still very strong momentum), even though spot vs UX1 has built a big gap on friday and in long run there is no sign of "fear" yet. However the contradict move for UX1 March on Friday indicate a long VIX model signal.
Entr
VIX (MARCH) --> Thurs down, Fri expecting to go up againWith PPI data release on Friday (again.. there may be a surprise as like Wednesday CPI). Model is expecting a surge on UX1 (March future).
Entry point: 14.95 or lower (watch for how Market goes on Thursday and Friday APAC/EU morning session)
Profit take: 90bps from Entry or 15.8 (whichever hit). I
VIX (FEB or MARCH) --> still indicating to go upTrade for 12th Feb 2024 - 13th Feb 2024 (Mon and Tues)
With CPI data release on Tuesday, SPX is just slightly above the 5000 threshold (subject to how long it is able to hold) and SPX Monthly Option expiration on Friday. Model is very committed with a long vix signal which led an average lift of 50
VIX Futures Facing Resistance at 200-SMA with Bearish DivergenceVIX Futures are currently sitting at the 200 SMA on the 1-Hour Timeframe at Resistance with Bearish Divergence a looks to be preparing to go down to fill the gap it created on the spot market, likely after the CPI release.
VIX (FEB) - about to go up !??Trade for 8th Feb 2024
As now ES and NQ is on the high end, there is a expectation of a mini pull back at least for profit take.
Entry price reference: 13.40 or lower
UX1 Indicative range: Low - High 13.05 - 14
Stop loss: 13.2 30 mins post US open (tighter stop loss)
Profit take: 13.6 - 13.8 an
VIX (FEB) - neutralAs now is in this strange pattern where ES up, Vix up, signal continue to keep as Long spread signal, also recent VIX curve move is parallel move in front 3 months (long spread help to keep risk low as no real direction in short or long vix)
Entry price reference: 1.06 or better (UX1 is 14.12)
UX1
VIX (FEB) - still looks like there should be a bounce upThis is for Long UX1 (Feb) positioning (1 day),
Entry price reference: 14.6 or better
UX1 Indicative range: Low - High 14.3 - 15
Stop loss: 14.2 post 30 minutes of US open (i.e. post 10am)
Profit take: any time if hit 14.8
Very short stunt as ES's momentum is very hard to keep up with many earnin
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