Perhaps the most important macro driver for stock prices in the last year and a half has been the US Dollar Index. The DXY has ranged between the upper 90s and about 107 since the third quarter of 2022. When the greenback has been on the rise, equities have generally been weak. A softer dollar has led to a period of stock market strength. Of course, ebbs in the...
The decision to maintain current interest rates, as announced in the latest Federal Reserve meeting, is likely to have a positive effect on the stock market. However, it is essential to consider current geopolitical tensions that may influence market dynamics. Overall, I remain optimistic about the future trajectory of the US stock market, particularly for ETFs...
AMEX:VTI – Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF looks to be forming a Cup with Handle on the Weekly Chart.
I have an alert set for a cross over the top if the handle trendline. If the market firms up and this triggers, I will use a lower timeframe to look for a good RR entry and stop loss.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
I do not hold VTI but instead VTSAX as my main long-term hold for spot account. This channel has stayed true for a while and this bounce zone could be a good DCA add.
VTI now has a classic bull trap formation. Big decision level here. Were we to see a rejection of the attempt at a new high and breaking of the 2022 low we'd likely only have seen the early section of the VTI drop.
A spot to be careful for bulls.
The total stock market tracked by AMEX:VTI looks fairly bullish in that we are now trending along post-Great Recession (GR) lows for the upper non-recessionary channel defined since the GR. So if no recession is ahead of us (a very BIG if), things ought to be looking up.
The two most recent recessions each hit the same lowest bound in this two-tiered channel...
Quick comparison chart to see which performed better (or worse) during bull and bear markets.
It's not always a straight-forward answer, and more variables involved.
But... should give you an idea all things else equal regarding ticker choices and weights.
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉
I am passionate about economics and history. Together, these two can tell a compelling story of ow interlinked everything is, and give a glimpse into the future should certain events repeat itself.
That is the core of my argument today as we look at the previous time he US Government hit a debt ceiling, and...
VTI has a monthly bearish divergence in RSI. There is massive head and shoulders forming. Headlines coming about how money is flowing in. I believe they just want money to flow in so they can have liquidity to dump into. The market has had the most orderly decline this year that I know of. I still believe massive downside is in store for ETF's, blue chips that...
Will we have a Santa rally or the grinch that stole Christmas? Here's the US Equity market VTI etf December stats pattern search. The past 13 years (baker's dozen) December is historically bullish probability wise.
December 2009 - 2022
10 bull December
3 bear December
77% odds bull
23% odds bear
Average bull percent = +2.37%
Average bear percent =...
Nothing fancy, US stocks are in a downtrend with downward pressure by a falling 50-week MA.
RSI of 50-55 has been the upper bound of RSI all year and coincided with tops in January, March, and August.
The 200-week MA is still rising and may provide near term support. However, in recessions this support is decisively broken (see 2020 and 2008). Given the...
In both of these charts, you can see the correlation between 2 sectors that had if not IDENTICAL run ups due to their nature of being overbought and unregulated. (housing crisis of 08 vs Crypto crisis of 2022)
As of now we are still on our path downwards. The housing crisis took until Nov 2007 to late 2009 to start on the path of recovery. We know cryptocurrency...
Is there a US Election month pattern? US Federal elections are always on the first Tuesday following the first Monday in November. This year election day is tomorrow, Tuesday 11/8. Statistically speaking November is a bullish month for US equities. As you can see here on the VTI 1month chart for the past dozen years, 10 out of 11 times November has closed with a...
Vti is the entire SP500 index fund with low cost. If you have no clue about companies and stuff and still want to be part of USA who is biggest economy in the world at the moment, VTI is your go to. Markets are struggling so i wanted to look HTF charts and best possible prices to accumilate over time.
Fibonacci is great tool for long term price targets. 0.5 is...
Bear market or FOMC market?
The standard definition of a bear market is when major U.S. stock indices, such as the S&P 500, drop by 20% or more from their peak. The signs of a weak or slowing economy are typically low employment, low disposable income, weak productivity, and a drop in business profits. In addition, any intervention by the government in the...
After complying with the 161 topping tendency, VTI has now made a break of the 161 of the topping swing and held a retest. These are things often seen in macro reversals.
