20 yr Bond Yield attempting to break through a 4 month channel resistance. If we can get through and stay above it, Long Bond Yields should get into the Mid 5's and might even challenge 6%. TLT could challenge all time lows ( $80 ) if we can get up there. Great Swing Trade Opportunity both ways.
TMV on the 4H chart appears to be reversing a trend down since 12/28. YTD it is rising.
The reasonable target is the Fib 0.5 retracement at $40 while support for a stop loss
just below the POC line of the volume profile is $29.25. As such this is a 35% upside.
The RSI indicator shows the fast RSI rising and crossing over the slower RSI while the
relative...
AMEX:TMV broke out of a downtrend at the end of 2023 and gapped up with todays open. I'm playing this shift in momentum tightly. I'm entering here and planning to take profit at 36.77, which aligns to the volume weighted average price anchored to 5/19/23 (entering consolidation prior to July 2023 breakout) and 10/19/23 (last strong buying day prior to 2023 peak)....
The Inverse ETF for the 20-Year US Government Bond is currently breaking out of a Descending Broadening Wedge and is looking to go much higher perhaps between the 61.8% and 78.6% retraces which would be about a 500-1,400% percentage gain which also means that longer end bond yields are going much higher.
I previously said I would repost this chart after the split...
The Inverse ETF for the 20-Year US Government Bond is currently breaking out of a Descending Broadening Wedge and is looking to go much higher perhaps between the 61.8% and 78.6% retraces which would be about a 500-1,400% percentage gain which also means that longer end bond yields are going much higher.
On this 4H chart- TMV the leverage bear Treasuries ETF has been trending up
in a parallel channel. AT present it bounced from the top of the channel and is
heading down to the bottom of the channel. It is there that I will trade long
where the bottom of the channel is confluent with the mean VWAP providing
an overlap of dynamic support. Near that same level is...
Straddle was build up in small etf TMV (ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT is $289.32M), straddle volume is about 10% of average daily volume.
Support/resistance levels may work more accurate due to the low liquidity of the given ETF
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We...
TMV on the one-hour chart tested two standard deviations above the mean VWAP in
both late May and early July it fell to one standard deviation below VWAP but then rose
sharply into beyond the two standard deviations line ( thick red ) ascending into a YTD high.
I believe that this is due to the recent federal debt creditworthiness downgrade.
The threatened...
TMV is an ETF Shorting the Treasuries. On the 2H chart, price is rising as the treasuries are
suffering value contraction while interest rates are steady or projected to rise. The chart shows
rising volumes, upwards volatility as well as a PV Trend demonstrating trend strength. I see
these all as confirmatory for bullish momentum. I will take a long trade into...
Bond yields are screaming upward, and they won't slow down until they overtake the rate of inflation - so we are basically at 5%+ on a T-bill right now, and probably headed toward double digits by end of winter. Yields Up = Prices Down. Short them until inflation returns to about 2%.
Shorting bonds is of course a little hard for a retail investor, but I have...
Long-term bond yields will continue to rise in response to higher inflation expectations. Therefore, instruments like TTT, TMV and TBT have ample room to continue rising (you can see the positive correlation between the two).
In addition, all 3 appear in the portfolio of Scion Asset Management, owned by Michael Burry. I simply do not subscribe to the idea that he...
If inflation is given and interest rates do not rise, expect negative real rates on long-term bonds. If inflation rises faster than the possible rate hike, expect negative real rates on long-term bonds.
If real rates on long-term bonds fall, expect a rise in inverse ETFs like this one. They have been one of Burry's bets to protect himself from the inflationary...
This chart is dedicated to a certain clown that goes around saying that bonds are trash and there is no money to be made in bonds.
R.I.P. @Jetter2 😂🤣
66% gain in 6 months
27% gain in 1 month
How do like them apples?
Should be good for at least a small play, but the corollary could also be that markets are poised to move up in the coming days (I'm still not sure why).
