Note: the technical indicators show a TTM squeeze ready on EVERY TF except Monthly, which is about to happen shortly by this summer - which means a massive move will happen. BOJ will blow up this summer and will devalue against the dollar forcing China to devalue to stay export competitive. I see a 50% devaluation - which will have the opposite effect on everyone...
Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: The sentiment has been bullish for a while as US CPI remains sticky. As the dollar gained strength. However, it became overpopulated with buyers, as evident from CFTC reports. So, it should take some trigger for those buyers to start covering their longs - a good potential for dollar downside. The CESI differential for USDCNH has...
- While ECONOMICS:USIRYY numbers remain inflationary, having the latest increase to 3.2% on August 10th, on the other side of the World from the second Global Superpower, ECONOMICS:CNIRYY came Deflationary at negative 0.3% on 9'th of August, just a day prior to numbers of ECONOMICS:USIRYY . Note that The Head of Federal Reserve, our pal Jerome Powell,...
Ladies and gentlemen, my fellow Americans, and all you Zoomers out there, gather 'round! Uncle Joe’s got some thoughts about our greenbacks and those sneaky Chinese Yuan. Buckle up, because we’re diving into the financial rabbit hole. 🐇 1. “The Dollar’s Got Swagger” You know, folks, the U.S. dollar has been strutting its stuff for centuries. It’s like that cool...
A downtrend has formed on USD/CNH since it failed to retest the 2022 high in September. Since then, a lower high, aggressive selloff and a bearish continuation pattern (rising wedge) has formed on the daily chart. The rising wedge projects a downside target towards the cycle lows ~7.1. If the yuan continues to depreciated (lower USD/CNH), it could prompt other...
EURJPY we have FVG and we have strong order block at 159.600 price will drop to order block and clear fvg and price will rice to 161.20-162.00
The USD Strength Indicator's relationship with the SDR basket is foundational to understanding global currency dynamics. Since the SDR comprises major currencies like the USD, Euro, Yuan, Yen, and Pound, the indicator's assessment of USD's performance against these currencies offers direct insights into its comparative value. This evaluation helps gauge the USD's...
As you can see we prepared update for the currency agenda, we have added gd, jpy, rub, and inr to the fuse, as you can see fibonacci cycles stayed the same in the anbsence. We think or at least clearly see on a chart that rub was the most profitable currency available. In the later arrivals we will try to discover most profitable assets nominated in rubles and...
USD/CNH remains in a soliud uptrend on the daily chart and, after consolidating around the June highs and forming a bullish hammer at 7.25, the swing low appears to be in. A bullish range expansion day broke the bearish resistance line, and bulls could seek to enter upon any pullbacks towards yesterday’s low for a tigher long entry. The bias remians bullish above...
After the completion of the wave 4 downside correction, the dollar resumed its upward to complete the wave 5 of the same degree.
Here is the real story about BRICS vs the US. BRICS Units of Money Supply 435.46 Trillion. LOL! vs US $20.67 Trillion Would you like to own BRICS Currency? Or the US $? There are 2016 X more BRICS currencies in existence vs the US. A 3rd grader could tell you the BRICS are silly as a viable option to the US $.
USD/CNH remains within an established uptrend on the daily chart, and the US02Y-CN02Y spread has reached a new cycle high to suggest upside pressure could be building on USD/CNH. Prices have retraced and are now trying to build a base around the June highs. Bulls could seek dips around the cycle lows with a stop below 7.25 in anticipation of a move to 7.35, the...
Last month there were several claims, and rumors, that BRICS will back its united future currency by gold. The return of gold as money has been heavily discussed by gold bugs for about the last 10 years. Below I provided their general thoughts: The gold bugs nailed that China and Russia have significantly boosted their gold reserves. The countries conduct...
The trajectory of the USDCNH is a burning question as it approaches the highs witnessed in November 2022. Recent weeks have seen China's economic robustness wane, and as a result, attempts by its central bank to ease the situation have led to a weakening of the CNH. This dynamic becomes clearer when considering the interest rate differential between China and...
I'm not much for getting into the politics of things but I did see a news release this morning that discusses how Chinese banks are offloading a lot of their U.S. dollar holdings in relation to raise the value of the Yuan. Now you might wonder how can this affect American markets or how does it affect the US dollar, and in the article below I'll give you some...