Resistance at a weekly down trendline, slight divergence with the bond yields and the Kiwi currency index. Talk of wanting RBNZ wanting a lower NZD, the yields are dropping, which the NZD in theory should follow.
Black - NZDJPY
Blue - NZD Currency index
Red - 2 year bind yield
Light Yellow- 10 year bond yield
In this screencast I show two charts where crashes could happen. I focus on Wall Street which - affects markets globally including forex markets.
On the weekly time frame US Oil is beginning to struggle at a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Wall Street is possibly struggling at an important structure level. A whole lot depends on China. But dig deeper. See the CSI300...
An inverted yield curve means a market situation in which the yields offered, for longer maturities, are lower than the yields of the short-term portion of the curve (in this case the "short" is usually considered as the rates up to 2 years). This is a situation that is at first sight counter-intuitive. Those who have studied Finance will certainly remember the...
GBP moving higher?
Data:
1. Leading post brexit data has recovered significantly from 5-10yr lows to firm growth or significant recovery (PMI, Optimism, Confidence) and imo this will be continuing theme given negs arent going to start for another 6-9m, there isnt any impetus to drive us lower again.
2. Also the macro indicators are trading well, e.g....
