Welcome to the latest market analysis video dedicated to: DAX's bearish structure and sell on rise trade. German and US bond yield curves signal de-inversions ahead, calls for caution for those "long risk." Did Friday's nonfarm payrolls report signal stagflation ahead? Key data to watch out for: US CPI and China's PPI. Technical set up in the dollar index....
In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities. In the...
What is moving this week? Our weekly eyeball into the different markets. Interest rates likely to be breaking its all time high again, get ready for another volatile month ahead. Difference between yield and interest rate: Borrowers take reference from interest rates and lenders take reference on the yield. Interest rates and yield moves in tandem. Minimum...
The Fed chairman has given the market a very important clue on 13 Dec 22. At what level will he consider an interest rate cut? He said “I wouldn't see us considering rate cuts until the committee is confident that inflation is moving down to 2% in a sustained way,” meaning only if CPI is heading nearing 2% then it is hopeful to see a rate cut. Market consensus...
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In recent weeks, the bond market has been sending a strong signal to the Federal Reserve: it may be making a serious mistake. The yield curve, which measures the difference in interest rates between short-term and long-term bonds, is currently more inverted than it has been since the early 1980s. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term interest rates are...
Content: • Difference between interest rate and yield? • Why it is important to note of yield curve inversion? • How to tell when Yields are inverted? • What is the long-term trend for interest rates and yields • How to manage a rising yield? Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • ...
The 2-10 Year yield curve spread has been steadily converging over the last year and has precipitated it's collapse the last 30-60 days with the 7 year inversion to the 10 year just happening last week. Flattening and inverting of the yield curve is a leading indicator of the onset of a recession or at minimum, economic contraction. Peace, CB
How to easily understand the yield curve inversion. I also show you a method to plot the difference between the bond yields.
In this screencast I show two charts where crashes could happen. I focus on Wall Street which - affects markets globally including forex markets. On the weekly time frame US Oil is beginning to struggle at a 61.8% Fib retracement. Wall Street is possibly struggling at an important structure level. A whole lot depends on China. But dig deeper. See the CSI300...
In this video update I make my case for one last blow-off top in the SPX500. I breakdown the chart using Elliott Wave and Fibonacci for technical as well as discuss the impact of the inverted yield curve on the equity space.