-We've reached a price where several fibonacci levels confluences from different timeframes.
-We have a historically strong support and resistance level.
-At this current level we see a double top being formed on hourly.
Depending on rules, there's also a big bearish gartley pattern completing its D leg at this level.
Preferably, I'd like to see a break to ...
My reasons for entry:
9 daily rejections, not counting the previous top 27/2 makes this case interesting. The inverted hammer after the double top formed tells me that we have a potential fall to the downside to profit from.
Looking at the 4 hour chart we have found resistance at historically strong support and resistance zone. Price did not manage to close above 1234.00 despite several attempts. Right above us we find a 0.618 fibonacci retracement.
Looking down at the hourly we also see a 2618, a double top (which also can be seen on 4h) followed by a 0.618 retracement after ...
Bearish Cypher completing below previous trend/pennant line. Although it has already been violated, it could potentially hold some resistance. Lets see if it, with the help of Mr Cypher, can beat the bulls.
As USD trembles, XAU makes its path upwards. I will enter above 0.618 fibo (see chart). Entering late will give me a better risk to reward ratio, sure, it does also decrease my chance of getting involved - but I will live with that.
Trend + structure were broken on the downside, which adds to the case with this 2618 trade.
Order is set, lets hope we get filled!