Pair : Volatility S & P 500 Index Description : Consolidation Phase in Long Time Frame Completed Impulsive Waves " 123 " Impulsive Waves Break of Structure Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Lower Trend Line and Retracement
We are entering into the playground of spx vix so be safe.
$VIX is creating a Bullish 1-2-3 Pattern at its previous market structure bottom (Support marked by the grey box). Price is currently consolidating at support and what historic price action tells us is that price usually has a period of consolidation known as a pullback or "Retracement" before it continues in its overall direction. I have price returning to an...
Falling wedge forming to retest previous resistance. Expecting the zone to swap from resistance to support. Added confluence for this price action would be the trend line starting from August of this year expecting it to hold BUT if it breaks will be looking for it to continue to the downside aka a new trend.
Hi folks! There is a saying that you cannot T.A. the VIX - as it is not directly tradeable and is derived from a complex computation based on short term options premiums of the S&P500. However, the VIX also is an estimate of the expected short term volatility in the market (i.e. in the next 30 days), and by definition should be significantly correlated with...
I've posted this, interesting to say the least, pattern on VIX a few years ago and thought it might be a good time to refresh your memory following the recent (minor so far) pull-back on stocks. As you see VIX has had two major patterns where an initial rise forms a Double Top (made of two market shocks/ catalysts) and then drops back to its 10.00 Support level....
Hi folks! As you may know, FINRA published the Margin Debt Statistics for July the other day. As you may also know, tops in prolonged and explosive runs in margin debt usually precede big corrections/crashes in the S&P500 by a couple of months The Margin Debt reading was down 4.3% from July after 15 consecutive months of increase (!) Here is my idea on how...
VIX has been trading within a Channel Down since late April 2020 after the markets started to correct themselves following the COVID led March 2020 crash. I have plotted the S&P500 on the chart and as you see from the comparison, the pattern is quite useful in determining when to sell stocks and when to buy. When VIX enters its Lower Lows zone, S&P500 starts to...
New all-time highs in the market combined with a creeping VIX are cause for some alarm. Inflation hedges/bets seems to be the talk of late with inflation on the rise.. and this is not unwise considering that money supply is off the chart and velocity is sure to pick up... although velocity is not a necessary component of inflation. Remember that the market is...
I just noticed that when the VIX index is traded on the 14th day of the month, if you open a long position near the close value you are almost guaranteed a very nice risk-reward ratio with a minimum drawdown. When VIX is not traded on 14th, this can happen on the 15th or 16th.
Record inflows and volume reported for vix related derivatives in January. Markets are increasingly getting worried about the bubblenomics that the fed has been pursuing investigating cases like GME may be a symptom of an unhealthy market environment. Rampant speculation has insisted since March boosting asset values but at the cost of what? This is a money game...
Since 2009 8 times we've had vix death cross. Is it different this time or the same we shall see.
Continuation of my previous VIX idea. RSI just crossed 70 and Volumes show that Long Volatility is a crowded trade. I will open the position with the 50% of my idle cash so NOT All-in but not a small bet. I am sure traders can find better/higher prices, but i just don't want to lose this opportunity. SL @97.13, TP@19.28, Risk/Reward 2 as usual. IMPORTANT NOTE: DO...
Let me begin by congratulating all shorts from the 85 highs , perfect timing in another flawless VIX swing traded live together...btw that is now sharing its significant anniversary moves with a historic crash in Global Equities. Mission accomplished! Sellers of Vol can now really consider themselves as an integral player caught in decent profit taking areas...
A Vix swing, which did not require "majority" or "consensus", rolled forward under the noses of retail and even some of the larger macro hands. It advanced incredibly far reaching a high of 84.8 ... Don't be a dick for a tick !!! Finally there is an opportunity to clear all targets in the breakthrough. As an example of this, let us turn to the well-know chart ...
We see a nice nice Tripple Bottom indicated 1,2,3. I hope you ready for a great week.