Oil has taken a a more decisive turn. I focus on the 4H time frame review other time frames briefly.
My methodology is transparent and reproducible by everybody. I explain in this screen cast how I limit to what extent the market proves me wrong, but at the same time capitalise on when the market says I'm right in my probability estimates.
In this screencast I show two charts where crashes could happen. I focus on Wall Street which - affects markets globally including forex markets.
On the weekly time frame US Oil is beginning to struggle at a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Wall Street is possibly struggling at an important structure level. A whole lot depends on China. But dig deeper. See the CSI300...
I was long on UKOIL on a lower time frame, as there were early indications that it could be heading north. My trend following assessments then changed, as the picture unfolded. I decided to bail out just in time for no loss.
I don't care if it now jumps north. At this point in time - based on what I see - I now think the probability for the daily time frame is...