I anticipate the antiglobalism movement will enrich Mexico for cheap labor (unless Trump gets elected then the Peso will melt down due to the tariffs) where China is already passing our own tariffs by exporting to Mexico where it gets a new shiny label and tariffs don't apply. I believe a billionaire has made moves to gather up the trucking and logistic companies...
The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates steady at 5.25%-5.50% while continuing its balance sheet reduction as planned since May 2023.
In contrast, the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) might announce a rate cut tomorrow.
It's anticipated that Banxico could decrease its interest rate from 11.25% to 11%, potentially applying pressure on the Mexican peso. This...
USDMXN has been under pressure for a few days now and I am not expecting it to stop soon. The US Dollar has been going down because of expected rates cuts to come this year and the mexican peso still benefits from a tighter monetary policy. Now that the fundamentals are in the favor of a continuation to the downside, we can observe on the daily timeframe the...
USDMXN has had difficulties creating higher structure while slowy going down on every failed attempt to break higher. Price has recently broken below a key support which shows that sellers are in control especially knowing the macro economics circumstances. My target is at 16.82000 .
The USDMXN pair gave us the most optimal sell signal on our last analysis (October 09 2023) and after hitting our 17.0500 target, is consolidating:
This consolidation is on 1D RSI terms, similar to September 28 - October 28 2022, when the RSI Triangle broke downwards and with that, the price was detached from the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and aggressively...
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is set to announce its decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) on Thursday. Forecasts suggest that both central banks will maintain their current interest rates.
Recent indications from Banxico suggest a leaning towards a more accommodative monetary policy. However, Deputy Governor Irene Espinosa has expressed...
Hey folks,
In this article, I’ll give you an update on USDMXN, which we’ve talked about before. You probably noticed that the Mexican Peso (MXN) has been quite strong for the past couple of years, mainly because of higher interest rates compared to other places, USDMXN short was a good carry trade.
However, things have started to shift a bit recently....
Broken Trendline Keeps USDMXN In Downtrend For Wave 5 from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
USDMXN shorts are doing very well as we mentioned and highlighted on October 12, when we spotted a corrective recovery in wave (4).
As you can see today, USDMXN turned nicely down from projected resistance and it can be headed much lower as bulls...
This pair is about to hit major support where it's likely not only to hold but turn and then go on a tear to the upside.
The indication is for a +20% run here, from the buy zone, making it well worth the wait - and then a major Buy.
Selling only after the retest of the HMA
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management**
USDMXN has converted the 1D MA200 to support and is rising steadily inside a Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 54.479, MACD = 0.196, ADX = 35.456) so once the current pullback towards the 1D MA50 and the bottom of the Channel Up, is completed, we will buy again and target a new +5.93% rise (TP = 18.8000). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50,...
Today we saw the Mexican inflation come out lower than expected but it is not where the Mexican central bank wants it to be yet. For that reason, the work to slow inflation down is not done yet and they will have to at least keep the rates high... On the technical side, we see price failing to create a new higher high and we just broke below the structure for a...
The USDMXN pair has been on a strong rise since July 28th, which was a Lower Low at the bottom of a 2-year Bearish Megaphone pattern. The rally has extended to a point where the price is about to test that 2-year top (Lower Highs) Resistance. The previous Lower High was priced exactly on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the new one is only a fraction away...
Same reasoning as my previous ideas, this pair looks undervalued when looking at the USD fundamentals. We found a solid support and we are creating higher highs and higher lows...
BLACKBULL:USDMXN
Time Frame H1
- Looking for price to head hunt for SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) before moving up
- SSL zone also lines up with our buy zone
17.03826-16.95941
Outlook 👁️🗨️
- Equal highs at 17.4189
- If you wanted a safer exit i'd recommend 17.3000
For a long time, I maintained a scenario for the Mexican Peso that envisioned a bounce down all the way down to the mid-16s a view that seemed less than likely a few years ago with the Dollar hitting an all-time high at nearly 26 pesos per unit. Sadly I didn't hold strong enough conviction on the move happening to see it all way through, throwing the towel just in...
