US short term funding requirements (33% of existing debt to mature next year) + a clean unbroken trend seems to head the 10 yr yield to 5.2%. This view doesn't constitute investment advice.
The TVC:US10Y has been extremely bullish since May 2023, and has gained more strength after the Fed's hawkish announcement that led to a "higher for longer" interest rate environment. The TVC:US10Y has broke through numerous resistance levels to reach its 16-year high. From a technical analysis perspective, the TVC:US10Y has a tendency to have strong bullish...
Welcome to my account. There is a high probability that the market will go down. With a strong model formation. Double button. He also made the area retest twice. The price fails to breach the broken resistance 3.900. I think the price will be negative over time. And we see its price is 3500. In the first stage
I know most people don't think this is a possibility, but I think it's highly probable.
I think we'll see the US10Y break the recent highs and head to 5.59% as the first target to the upside. Then I think we'll continue the bullish trend and end the bullish move in yields at 8.13%, I think at that point, that's when you'll want to go long risk for the long...
US10Y / US02Y Spread Around Historically Lows
I have presented the analysis of the US10Y/US02Y spread as clearly as I can - and I hope that the chart is self-explanatory!
I, too, now assume that there will be a recession in the USA - at least two neagtive gdp annual grwoth rates. In a stagflation we are since july 2021 yet (higher monthly inflation rate as the...
U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Friday to their highest since July 21 and U.S. stock futures fell by almost 1%, along with similar losses in Europe. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was up 8 basis points at 2.967% as the Fed indicated July meeting minutes that it would continue hiking rates until inflation slows down significantly, although...
The most important chart of all the markets is this little kid here.
This chart shows us the cost of US government borrowing which also means the strength of the US dollar as cash in the investors portfolio,
As we can see in this monthly graph that the government's 10-year borrowing yield is 3% (high going back to 2018 before COVID)
What is the meaning of...
In this update we review the recent price action in the US10yr Yield and identify the next high probability trading patterns and price objectives to target.
Chart should explain how hot this market is right now from the QE FED wanting to QT meaning they will let this freefall? they might actually have no choice but to remove the wealth they accidently created.
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Following weekly chart
Cup & handle formation, RSI is supporting the formation.
This is a clear confirmation indeed, let's see.
I mostly follow handle target. It's 2.423
16 of the first 18 days of this year, SPY moved in the direction opposite of what US10Y did the previous trading day.
I have been using 1/US10Y to get a rough idea of where the market is heading in the next day. The correlation to SPY is immediately obvious upon just visually comparing the 1D candles.
If this paradigm holds up, next week will be......
As we have high record inflation on U.S. and the surging rate hike expectation. This will definitly bring the the US10Y up. As it is have negative correlation to expansionary monetary policy.
Inflation prints coming in hot(short term) because of a stalled reopening.
Rumors of vaccine FDA approval in the next week.
A large infrastructure package in the works, putting more money into the system sparking inflation fears.
Hello trenders,
Investing in bonds after looking this chart...hmm nah.
We need the bottom catcher here, there may be some potential reverse on long term but then, why would the US gov give money to medium class!
Rich getting richer right.
M.M.M Make Motherfuc.in Money
Be wise: don´t work for the money, make your money work for you.
