Still looking at a trap for Liquidity on Cable going into this week.
There are some nice lows that I'm looking for failure around providing a high probability move to the upside (targeting the FTA - First Trouble Area).
Why do I trade these liquidity traps?
Reason 1 - Because when price breaks structure, the breakout traders have their pending orders (Sell/Buy...
I see a potential Liquidity Trap above this high on EU.
There's going to be a lot of stops above this high as It's a fair swing point and as we know retail traders love having their stops above/below swing points.
If we can fail to close above this level I will short to the FTA highlighted by the horizontal line.
"Why are you certain there will be a reaction...
My bias going into next week is bearish for this pair but this can flip at any point depending on the price action we see. Sellers have been trapped twice now as shown, banks may now have enough liquidity to create a strong move to the downside, similar to my GBPUSD analysis.
I will be patient with this pair and allow the structure to shift before I get involved....
*CYPHER Harmonics pattern formed for a POTENTIAL BUY*
1)Wait for a BREAK in the RESISTANCE area
2)Wait for a BREAK in the SUPPORT area
ONCE a zone as been broken, WAIT for the retest
Once price confirms as NEW SUPPORT or RESISTANCE its safe to ENTER
*use risk management*
Although the price from my point of view is moving within a range on the higher time frames, we can still look to trade opportunities on the smaller timeframes. If price breaks and holds above the structure marked, I will be looking for a buy position into the previous daily highs as illustrated.
COT Data - 76% Long
We've trapped USDJPY on the H1 chart. Theres only 2 ways this is going to play out now, all we have to be is patient and wait for the confirmation regarding the break of trend.
And remember, whatever USDJPY does, GOLD will do the opposite ;)
Can you figure out the differences in the three pinbars highlighted...bearing in mind that the shape, length, or colour of the pinbar does not matter in this case.
Pinbars occur in the market as a result of two scenarios:
1) When institutional traders place large positions in order to reverse what we call a "trend"
2) When institutional traders take profit off...