Macro Monday 27 Headwinds for Europe but Spain demonstrating relative strength As it is New Years Eve I wanted to do an early release for tomorrow. This week we are taking a look at another major market Index in Europe and we will also look at one smaller market within this geographical location, Spain, due to its strong chart set up and promising economic...
In recent years, many of us acknowledge that the term "recession" has been appearing in news and social media outlets at an increasing rate. While it acts as great clickbait, most sources tend to avoid to avoid a more fundamentals data driven approach, but rather are preferential an opinionated viewpoint from which their viewers can relate. Here I propose a more...
EURUSD is going to 1.04 level this week. After testing this level, probably it will continue bear market but we should wait price movements after testing this level.
Since our last trade analysis, STOXX50 reached our target at 4,370 from the W Formation pattern that broke up and out of. Today, we have our confirmation of another bullish pattern for upside, the Box Formation. The price has broken up and above the pattern and we have upward momentum indicators confirming upside to come including: 7>21>200 -...
Following our initial publication, we've received some astute feedback that warrants further and more in-depth discussion. A reader correctly noted that the DAX and Euro STOXX 50 differ in their treatment of dividends - a detail we initially glossed over for simplicity's sake. The DAX is a performance index, including dividends, while the Euro STOXX 50 is a price...
Trade Idea: Selling EU50 Reasoning: Double top completed on the daily chart. Lower prices expected. Entry Level: 4253.5 Take Profit Level: 4205 Stop Loss: 4275 Risk/Reward: 2.3/1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in...
Trade Idea: Buying EU50 Reasoning: Breaking from a wedge Entry Level: 4316.6 Take Profit Level: 4365 Stop Loss: 4291 Risk/Reward: 2:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all...
Trade Idea: Selling EU50 Reasoning: Speculative sell, stalling at the highs? Entry Level: 4324.1 Take Profit Level: 4204 Stop Loss: 4343 Risk/Reward: 6.91:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities bounced nicely. S&P500 recovered above the support level. European indices bounced off the 50-day moving average. ➤ Sideways would be the appropriate term to sum up the price action for 2/3 of the year. If we look backwards to May, the S&P500 has not made any progress up or down. Price has oscillated around current levels...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ The last trading days of the year are upon us and the state of the equity market are very different to preceding years. It's time to waive goodbye and say good-riddance. Let's cheer for a sea change in the New Year. ➤ I made one last Trade to see out the year. Although the S&P500 broke below the support level it has not broken below...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 "Shawty had them apple bottom jeans (jeans) Boots with the fur (with the fur) The whole club was lookin' at her She hit the floor (she hit the floor) Next thing you know Shawty got low, low, low, low, low, low, low, low" ➤ That's the lyric from the song by Flo Rida. I had to look up the meaning of "Shawty". It is usually a reference...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Thing's pretty much look the same as expectations prior to the Christmas Holidays. I'm expecting equity prices to bounce higher. The extent of which will tell us if the Bulls can regain a foothold or the Bears once again take control. ➤ Price again bounced off the Support level at 379/380 on the SPY. Pre- US Market Trade in Asia is...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equity prices made no further headway. Instead, a large Bearish day threatened to add to a Cheerless Christmas. Price managed to recover some losses by end of trading day leaving things in the lurch. ➤ NASDAQ is performing miserably. It's almost back to the lows of the year. One shouldn't be surprised it is lagging so badly. Used to...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ If yesterday's bounce was uninspiring, the Bulls were clearly inspired today. It's almost Christmas Cheer time after all. The VIX has collapsed back to the pink highlighted zone in the chart. Let's see if the Bulls can break below. It's been bound by this zone since the start of the year! ➤ I'm not looking for a big aggressive...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ We saw the smallest of bounces in the S&P500. It was uninspiring. Still, an upward move has to start from somewhere. Today may be the day to risk some capital. ➤ Uninspiring too is the Poll I took about people's opinions on which group of market participants might do well next year. 45% voted for "Everyone is a Loser". The...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ A Change of Character "CHoCH" has occured in S&P500 uptrend since the Oct bottom. The drop since 13th Dec looks to be the largest in size. This changes the momentum of the Bulls. Either Bulls will take pause with some sideways movement prior to igniting another run higher or the Bears will now come out to play. I favour the Bearish...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ I expected a move higher for equities given my long exposure. The exposure was relatively small reflecting an overall low level of conviction. The surprise to me was the extent of the negative move. This overshadowed my low exposure adding to the recent run of bad trading results. ➤ Technically, the uptrend since the October bottom...
🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ If we took a two day view of events, the S&P500 managed to make little headway up or down. Pre-data release, I eluded to people getting a bit over excited by bidding up the VIX. Of course, there was the excitement of the CPI data intra-day. That has all fizzled out for now. ➤ Now that all the excitement is over for another month, I...