If you have not seem my original idea on this movement I suggests you take a peak here is a quick visual on the Bearish idea.. With the potential for a TVC:DXY retest before possibly continuing to the upside. I would expect to see the very same inverse behavior in equities as well as forex. Short term upwards movement-Monday, Tuesday -Target...
The rapid decent of Bonds from 129 was telling. Yet while most think that we have reached the bottom there are indications that this is not the case. WE are currently here: ZB is making a retracement, I think we can see a price rebalancing up to 120'22 The potential Highs at 121'31 will lure Buyers, yet a rejection of these levels will have serious indication...
The Paradoxical Risk-on/ Risk-off Asset positive correlation: 1. Risk off assets have outperformed to date, with Gold leading the gains at 28%, JPY following at 18% and US 10y treasuries Trading 16% up in 2016 - average at 20.5%. 2. Meanwhile, SPX trades 5% up since 4.1.2016 but more importantly, since 20th January lows SPX is up 15%. 3. this is significantly...
At the start of 2016 the PBOC began aggressively devaluing the off-shore Yuan against the USD, imo in an attempt to start the year with a competitive export:import advantage - with the aim of making 2016 a headline "come back" year for China amid the growing GDP growth and Credit bubble worries. As a result Equities across the board sold-off (-8.5% in a few...