Gold short positioning getting stretched -> short squeeze Stronger US inflation failed to lift USD -> inflation growth, Fed policy priced in
GBPUSD has slightly fell outiside 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean, however amid strongly compressing volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from the weekly mean), indicating more probability to revert upwards to the mean than continue falling. Traders can take long positions at re-tag of the 1st standard deviation from outside at 1.5160 -...
USDJPY is breaking back into the 1st st deviation from weekly mean amid compressing volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from weekly mean), siting high probability to reach the mean itself @ 120 Traders can take long positions at the lower 1st standard deviation @ 119.625 with stops below relevant lows @ 119.17 Traders should also mind JP news coming out 0:30 UTC
Since about 2013 Gazprom trades laterally in relation to 1-year mean, giving abundant opportunity to take mean revertion trades. Mean revertion trade is when price goes from either 1st standard deviation from the mean to the mean itself On the chart I have pointed out such opportunities in the past (blue arrow is approximate entry towards the mean, highlighted...
GBPUSD is on risk of mean revertion downwards trade. Price is tagging upper 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean) from inside amid compressing volatility (measured by 3.2 standard deviations) Traders can take short positions at the 1st standard deviation (1.5450) with stop above relevant highs (1.5485) and targeting the weekly mean (now at...
USDCAD is trading laterally recently around its weekly mean. Currently price is again at its relevant range upper border, marked by 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean. Volatility is compressing, hinting us that another mean revertion is likely in the cards (downwards this time) Traders can pick shorts close to the upper 1st standard deviation...
After a sharp up move earlier this week EURUSD has retraced its gains significantly. However it did not yet enter a downtrend on weekly basis - price is returning to its 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean amid compressing volatility (marked by 3.2 st deviations from the mean) Thus the price is likely to revert up to the weekly mean within a day or...
USDJPY reentered 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean after a sharp drop earlier this week In my previous chart I also mentioned that USDJPY held long term levels (see related) Price is now likely to tag the weekly mean, as it moves into usual lateral range USDJPY is also supported by BOJ, continuing its extensive monetary stimulus Traders can take...
USDJPY is breaking below the 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-hour) mean after a leg of uptrending move. Price is likely to tag the mean before continuing further - to recharge volatilty. Traders can pick shorts close to the upper 1st standard deviation (124.70) aiming to the mean (124.30) Stops should be placed above relevant highs (125.10), tagging of...
USDSEK is breaking through the 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean after a leg of uptrend from above. Price is likely to revert to is weekly mean for volatility recharge before going further. Traders can pick shorts around the upper first st deviation (at 8.70) and with target at the mean (8.65). Stops should be placed above relevant highs (at 8.76)
USDRUB is tagging upper 1st st deviation from weekly (120-hour) mean after several legs of uptrend. The price has a probability of mean revertion downwards to recharge volatility before going further Traders can pick up shorts at the 1st standard deviation (62.64) with stops above the relevant peaks (64.55) and target at the weekly mean (60.65)
GBP has recently broke down inside the 1st st deviation from weekly (120-hour) mean. There is high chance of price tagging the mean now amid compressing volatility. Traders can catch up with it by shorting (preferably closer to the 1st st deviation @ 1.5635) in view of price falling to its weekly (120-hour) mean @ 1.5595 However traders willing to jump into...
USDNOK has been trading laterally for some time now and no sits right on its weekly (120-h) mean. Volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations) is compressing and there is no apparent slope of the mean. As there are no significant news (calendar events) coming out on the USDNOK today. traders can pick trades both ways, betting that the price will keep reverting to...