INVESTMENT CONTEXT In a remarkably divergent trade, on May 19 BTC regained USD 30k threshold and many Layer-1 currencies (ADA, ETH, XRP) moved up at least 4% while the S&P 500 headed towards the 7th consecutive week in red U.S. President Joe Biden is touring Asia in an attempt to launch the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), countering criticism that...
I think we are about to experience a strong reflationary wave once again, we have crypto, commodities, equities, preparing to rally in a big way, and the Aussie-Yen forming a monster base. The setup here is to buy if price breaks out forming a larger range upside move vs the last daily true range (when measured from the last close to the upside). This would get my...
In my "Copper could go to $8, $20 even" idea published on March 13th I explained I was looking to buy copper, and expected it to go up over more than a year. I wanted to see the price consolidate over a longer time than what it did and ideally closer to all time high. It is still possible that it will, just like gold did, after going up significantly above ATH,...
All timeframes are setting up for a big move in $USB here, daily is kicking off a fresh uptrend after the recent bottom, weekly and monthly are about to trigger a trend as well, and by EOY the yearly will flash a 10 year uptrend signal which aims for somewhere between $220 and over $1600 per share by the year 2030. I think overall, the return vs risk proposition...
The electrification of America and the world is going to require huge amounts of copper. New all-time highs should be expected. Copper resources are likely going to become highly valued throughout this decade as more and more copper is needed to overhaul the energy and infrastructure grid.
Just sharing a series of investing ideas that interest me. This is not investment advice or licensed research. CX has moved quite a bit off of its cycle low but still maintains quite a bit of upside, I think it has multi-bagger potential. Incoming Infrastructure stimulus will be between $4 and $10 trillion just in 2021 alone.
Look at >40 RSI indicator over the last 20 years. Look at our current macro environment. This is all expectation and no substance. The CPI basket isn't going to move, only yacht prices and select real property markets. Bull run continues.
Been following this for the past week and wow. We are now only ~.14% away from breaking this descending wedge we've been in for a year. Really curious to see if this will happen in the next two days. On the daily chart MACD histogram just turned green and RSI has enough room to run. That's all folks
Possibly a wedge forming for this little consolidation day for the 10 year, seems like it doesn't want to really go lower. I don't think that people are really expecting this thing to continue to rise especially after the circus show at the FED minutes. Seeing a lot of different people talking about the 1.3-1.6 range where it will actually mean something, we'll...
Uranium is in the early stages of building a bullish regime of volatility over a Tail duration. It currently already has that over a trend duration. You need to be taking full advantage of dips in this environment. Buy the damn dip.
OJ1 Oranges have been building a higher low since spring of 2019 and completed the higher low in the Feb. 2020 crash. With broad commodities CRB having formed a long-term cycle low in the 1Q2020 and the global economy already heating up and many commodities already breaking out of their multi-year downtrends (Uranium, industrial metals, agriculture), it has...
Following positive Vaccine news on Monday, investors are already buying into reflation trade ideas. This implies that it won't be long till the global economy bounces back once vaccine distribution starts next year. However, we are still far from having an approved vaccine. Therefore, US Oil has two narratives to go buy. Vaccine approval happens sometime...
Markets are now taking on a reflation attitude. The EU is on track for further stimulus and this will further push the EURO lower. One of the best pairs to take advantage on is EURNZD as the New Zealand Dollar demand is high following a drop of Covid19 cases in New Zealand.
Watch carefully because is the key. A lot of mysterious symbols on chart. So... buy/ sell as you wish this suggestion give you a full of prosperity dish.
Looks like the crowded bond short consensus/reflation trade is about to get smacked... Positions in stock and options between $TLH and $TLT. Extreme positioning usually does not end well for the herd. I wonder if people shorting when market rate for 10-Years was above 2.31% ever even knew that rates have been under pressure since peaking over 3 decades ago.......
Important for me is a move above 111.60 thats when i will probably move stop to breakeven and let it go higher. 112.00 should be a reasonable target. We should not see any close below 110.70 anymore, this idea fails if we break lower. Best of luck and please use proper risk management, never risk too much on one single trade.
We can aim to rejoin the long term decline in the Euro here, and for the next 5 days, shorting gradually each day until we have a full position. Risk a rally to 1.0979 and aim for targets below $1. The 'Time at mode' signal in the 2-month timeframe points to a massive decline, so, be patient. Risk 1-3% between all positions, if the stop is hit at 1.0979. Good...
Related to the reflation theme described in my view "Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World". This trade relates to a steepening of the US yield curve as rates adjust upwards through either rising inflation or a pickup in US growth (or both) having been driven to a record low in June. BKX Index (candles) BKX / SPX (blue) US10Y (grey) What is...