SPX: stock prices are a picture, but life is a movie daily stock prices dont tell the whole story. They only reflect the buying and selling of yesterday. The businesses behind the stock are dynamic and change over time. Like Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham always preach, you can wake up one day and Mr Market will bring you a different and possibly wild price...
This video is my strategic analysis for when I will be looking to buy my next real estate investment property. I use the Cash-Shiller Index, CPI, and charting techniques of mean reversion to create indicators I will follow in the years ahead as real estate trends downward following the rise in mortgage rates and fall in home prices.
I have always loved the game cashflow. its like monopoly, but faster and more realistic. This game im showing im playing using the the latest economic headlines. If youre younger and new to investing, I recommend you play it and learn to master it, its not hard. games remove emotions and let you practice. real life is harder and more emotional. :D #richdadpoordad...
The US Census Bureau recently published population numbers for cities across the US, and the numbers don't look too good: most large urban centers in the country have taken significant population losses in 2020-2021. Politicians and media pundits typically blame COVID and supply chain woes, though these trends were already happening even before the pandemic - the...
Today we are taking a look at the Case Shiller Home Index on a year-over-year chart as well as a price chart and using basic, long-term technicals to identify issues and opportunities. I believe we are heading into a recession over the next few years but we will have to see what crazy government program is created to fight that recession that maybe boosts housing...
I will say it again. Caution in all asset classes remains. How much risk are you taking on for how much reward you are expecting to acquire? Keep asking yourself that question. Better to be out of the market wishing you were in rather than being in the market wishing you were out.
Historically in America the interest rate for a 30 year fixed has been in a multi-decade down trend. As of January 2021 the rate for a 30 year fixed dropped to a historical low of around 2.65% and has since reversed in trend. This year we can potentially see rates continue to rise up to 3.75% as we're in secondary uptrend on the line chart. Currently we're at...
Inflation Hits 7% in the US -- Is this Good or Bad for Crypto? It depends on how the Federal Reserve responds and how much faith people will have in the USD after the recession hits. Also forgot to mention in the video that crypto is considered an "inflation friendly" asset because it's not beholden to supply chain issues like traditional assets are.
Are we in a bubble? Probably. But which is really in a bubble right now? Crypto/NFTs/Metaverse assets, or the housing market in the "real" world? What is "real", anyway? And is the listing prices you see in real-estate really accurate right now? A closer look at the real vs virtual-world asset races.
I did a video version of the editor's pick idea (link below) with more details and a more holistic look at what's been going on in real-estate, politics, and crypto. What happens next is anyone's guess but underlying trends tend to show that the crypto market itself will probably be OK, if not bullish. Some notes from the vid below: - Inflation is here to stay...
Inflation is here to stay. Part of the reason why the government was caught off guard was because the US has been offshoring manufacturing for years now and is no longer looped into things like supply chain issues that are happening thousands of miles away. What's likely to happen, and how can crypto benefit from it?
Latest update on the Evergrande fiasco. It's looking like this could be much bigger than even the alarmists have been speculating so far. tl;dr - the US media is very poor at covering foreign news, especially when it comes to money. Be wary of what you read out there. China is likely to let Evergrande defaut, which will stand in stark contrast to what we did...
So while we wait for the #Evergrande thing to sort itself out, the city to pay attention to for cracks in the housing market here in the US is #SanFrancisco. They have had the highest housing inflation in the country over the last decade -- which is counteracted by the reality that both jobs and people are leaving the city in droves now due to its unaffordability,...
The recent dip in the crypto market is most likely a result from the scare that Evergrande -- one of the largest real-estate firms in China, may end up defaulting on their debt. Will China bail them out or let them fail? It's China's version of what happened in 2008 in the US.
Many experts out there are coming to the consensus that we're due for a period of high inflation in the near future. The future of the US real-estate market looks uncertain, as well. If the Federal Reserve does nothing in response to inflation (as they've been saying the last few months), it accelerates the trends of people leaving from the big cities, making a...
So one of my daily rants got long enough to warrant a Medium post. Whether you agree with it or not, I think I do have a plan mapped out for myself, at least financially speaking. The tl;dr is that underlying trends don't really look good for the US real-estate market right now, despite record high gains in the last few years. Or maybe it's more accurate to say...
Warren Buffet Warns of Inflation. Is this Good/Bad for Crypto? A closer look at the US real-estate market, recent worries about an inflationary USD, and how it may (or may not) affect crypto prices over the next few months.
If Wall Street Crashes, Will Crypto Go Up or Down?