BAC is showed here on a 100R(ange) where price action from the Covid lows to the federal stimulus highs to the fade and consolidation of Summer 2022 to Summer 2023 and another fade and reversal from it are seen on the chart. At presen, BAC has reversed upside. With Uncles Powell and Sam announcing likely three rate cuts in 24Q3 and 24Q4, I see...
The signal I was waiting for to start buying bonds was whenever the Federal Reserve stopped or slowed raising interest rates. The Fed held another rate policy meeting this week and only raised the Federal Funds Rate by +.25% instead of the +.75% that had been the trend. We've gone from seeing a +.50% hike in Dec, to +.25% in Jan to +.25% this week after 4 prior...
On the chart, is the Federal Funds rate about to intersect the yield of the 2 year Treasury Bills ? If so , will this mark the technical point at which the Federal Board will loosen things up in the context of the big picture including jobs, core inflation, et cetera. Will the fed lighten up and make any hike only 25 / 50 points ? Has the market already...
Macro conditions couldn’t be any worse. Starting this month, the Fed unleashed its quantitative tightening (QT) plans, trimming the $9trillion balance sheet at an unprecedented scale (current run-off cap: $47.5bn/month initial; $95bn/month 3 month later; 2017 run-off: max $50bn/month). The last two quantitative tightening led to a sharp rise in yields in 2013 and...
November 2010 - November 2012 WALCL ~ +20% TSLA ~ +100% November 2012 - November 2015 WALCL ~ +60% TSLA ~ +600% November 2015 - November 2020 WALCL ~ +60% TSLA ~ +600% November 2020 - WALCL ~ +24% (ATH) TSLA ~ +240% (ATH) ... Input 1 Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level WALCL Input 2 Tesla Motors, Inc TSLA
Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level WALCL/100000000 versus Tesla Motors, Inc TSLA/1000
Hey everyone, Hope everyone is keeping well and in good health. We've seen our crypto portfolios shrink in monetary (FIAT) value. This sucks, but please refrain yourself from making emotional choices here at all times. Above illustration incorporates the recent FED rate hikes between 2015 and 2019 and what the price-action of Bitcoin was in that time period. I...
If you look at the S&P500 index ( TVC:SPX ) chart, you find that it has reached, and even surpassed, the previous high at 3393.5 which occurred just before the CV19 drop in March 2020. The last close on 31 December 2020 was at 3760. However, many attribute the recent V-shaped recovery to the Quantitative Easing scheme by the Federal Reserve, which makes a lot of...
Doubling the pace of QE tapering The Federal Reserve ended its final monetary policy meeting for the year with a bang. While holding interest rate unchanged at the target range of 0-0.25%, the central bank doubled the pace of quantitative easing (QE) tapering from the current $15 billion ($10 billion of Treasury securities + $5 billion of agency mortgage-backed...
Hello! SP500 has a possible inverted head and shoulder . If we do break the neckline and close above it . Easiest way to take a trade ( at least for me ) is with break and retest . That's how you can get really good risk/reward ratios , you wont get bull trapped and that also teaches patience. If you are/want to be a swing trader you need to have...
Gold setting up a beautiful Bull Pennant on the week chart. With Volatility increasing thanks to the tapering of QE, a flight to gold is a natural reaction. A break and hold above $1 860 could result in a first price target back to local highs of $2 000. I am bullish on Gold for the medium term. Boom, TheRaggy
VIX has hit my short term price target of $25. With all the fundamentals of money supply, let see how the market reacts now with some easing in QE. I hope this coming crash will be a lesson Central Banks, but I doubt it.... Lets sit back and what the volatility bubble up! Boom, TheRaggy
As widely expected, we see a further tightening of monetary policy from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) during the meeting on Wednesday. But the decision did not gain any positive market reaction for the New Zealand dollar as the 0.25% hike in interest rate had already been priced in. It was a 0.50% hike that the market was yearning for. Once the market did...
Fed starts tapering! The long-awaited taper meeting has finally arrived! The Federal Reserve announced during their monetary policy meeting on Thursday that it will begin slowing down its net asset purchases by $15 billion per month which comprises of $10 billion Treasury bonds and $5 billion agency mortgage-backed securities. The first round of tapering will...
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) concluded its monetary policy meeting on Tuesday with no change in its weekly A$4 billion bond purchases, aka quantitative easing (QE), while holding interest rate unchanged at 0.10%. What has changed during this meeting is the ending of the central bank’s yield curve control (YCC). Dropping the YCC It all began when the RBA...
QE has ended. During the monetary policy meeting yesterday, the Bank of Canada (BoC) carried out a hawkish move. The initial expectation from the market was for the central bank to taper its quantitative easing (QE) from C$2 billion per week to C$1 billion per week. However, the BoC surprised the market by bringing its QE to a halt. Rate hike timeline carried...
The ECB’s decision. The European Central Bank (ECB) held its interest rates unchanged during their monetary policy meeting yesterday. Main Refinancing Operations Rate: 0.00% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 0.25% Deposit Facility Rate: -0.50% The size of its quantitative easing (QE) programmes remains unchanged as well. Asset Purchase Programme (APP):...
The dovish tapering decision. During its monetary policy decision yesterday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its cash rate unchanged at 0.10%. As promised, the central bank proceeded with its quantitative easing (QE) tapering plan announced back in the July’s meeting. What came as a surprise is the duration of the new round of QE. Previously, the RBA...