AUD/USD is at a monthly demand zone, there are numerous traps enticing retail traders to short. E.g. bouncing off the weekly trend line, and a so called area of resistance on the daily.
COT data also shows banks are becoming slightly bullish and reducing short positions.
Don't short basically.
Recorded from my laptop in a lunch break - so turn your speakers right up.
I'm stalking the DJI carefully for any sign action. This is a market built on hope and false confidence. It can't go on forever.
Disclaimer: This is speculative opinion - not advice. If you trade this market and lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
In this screencast, I show how shorting on a 2H time frame is optimal for me to take a controlled loss. I explain where I see the big trends and some smaller trends.
Note that this is not a prediction, or recommendation to short. I use a very different methodology which is not 'just on the charts', though at times in simplifying things it may appear like a...
EU broke a huge consolidation area and that can be seen with the broken counter channel. Price is now retesting that breakout and could possibly fall further to make new LLs and LHs at 1.12000. with that being said, be careful of the potential double bottom for a new rally to the upside.
Follow risk/money management, there is plenty of time to become millionaire.
There is a possibility for a triple bottom and potential reversal. Let's see how this plays out.
This is not forecast unlike my other charts, just an idea/possibility that has a realistic chance to come to fruition.
People called 4k when we hit 6k bottom and where I bought, people called for 4.8k at 6.45k where I bought, people called for 5k at 6.1k where I...
The Price Action and volatility at the 1.0750 was the catalyst to this high probability short. I owe this trade to a lot of patience because I have been stalking this for weeks.
Targeting the FX_IDC:EURUSD1.05 handle for my first Take Profit.
Stop Loss will be moved to Break Even on the close below 1.0630.
Any questions then feel free to comment below....
1. Based on the last 16yrs of daily close data (since 01/01/2000 to date) EURNZD has a cumulative probability of a =>6th day lower at 0.5%, hence there is a implied 99.5% chance of reversal on the daily.
2. Also we see the Z-Score for, Monthly, 3m and 2wk all above 1SD.
3. Fundamentally I also like being long EUR given the ECBs new more neutral...