My last long call is over two years old. I was surprised by the extend of the up move. But now I see a 64 BTC/$ target. So be careful with new longs. The scenario is dead with new all-time-highs. And they should come fast. I am not trading the bitcoins.
As a reminder, please look at the old chart idea down at the links. Price action and elliottwave at its best.
The old longer short target was 16 $. But from the waves I cannot see an end to it. I wait for a long signal, a wave is finished formation, to try to catch the next big move long.
How to trade? Short positions stops bring closer, long positions not yet,...
Sorry, folks, my last BitCoin analysis was too eager. It took much longer then expected.
And now BitCoin is - in my waver eyes - in a make or break situation. If it goes below 300, the chances are good, that it will never come back, maybe a long time to say goodbye, but a goodbye forever. If it gets back on track and does a new high over 500, then BitCoin...
After being strong short on oil since August 2014 (see the green arrow... YES, no kidding...), I am expecting the WTI to rock bottom right at or little under 30 $. Two more lows and then there should be a bottom formation, preferably an ending diagonale triangle. Alternative: If not, under 10 $ is on the table (but that I do not see).
So I am changing oil from...
From an Elliott Wave perspective there is room for discussion. The wave pattern for the first time for some years show, that the EUR could become bullish. It is a real possibility. But not a safe bet. Shortterm a short, but medium neutral.
Check out my former ideas. This is NOT as safe as these, but I told you, I would say something, when I see more.
BitCoins are crazy volatile and not easy to trade, at least it feels like this to me. So this is just for fun.
If you look into the chart from a Elliott-Wave perspective, then it could be time for some long movement. False hope if you ask me from my fundamental view, but anyway, something like 700-xx should be possible.
If we see one lower low, it could be even...
My longterm target is done. Faster then expected, but I was sure it will. Now it was hit.
But. Right now, I can see no end. Two possible points in the chart, but no signs that would support any of them. Basically the 1,07 is a "good" looking target, the 1:1 is the magic number target.
But. I am totally unsure where this will end. When I am sure Part 7 will...
EURUSD was THE trade of 2014. The 4. try got the whale. Right on the topping day in March 2014. So here a little update on the EURUSD.
Still no bottom to be seen, but from an Elliott Wave perspective the needed is done. Everything else is just the icing on the cake. 1,10 is not too far away, only 8 cents... but the thing running now for over 3000 pips.
Check...
Wow. This one was spot on. See link below. From 50,80 to 31,76. Couldn't be more happy for the analysis, sadly I did throw the trade away, way too early.
So why now the revisiting. Because. The green line could start, so at least the stops should be brought closer, or parts taken of the table. The 35 could be a nice stop.
My wave sentiment: So neutral to short. ;)
As can be seen in the chart the red marker was spot on. I do not paint these things just for fun, but when they hit the mark like this, it is extremely fascinating. :)
As you can see with the attached links, that one went well. Why the update? Because I do not do the market, we all do, and with all due respect, I can see one possibility that is noteworthy. But to be sure, weekly I am still strong short on this pair, at 1,3550 I have to reconsider, at 1,40 well, then it is too late anyway.
So besides all the short load I carry...
FB is not my favorite share. Fundamentally I do not understand its value. Totally not. Then the late IPO, tons of pre IPO VC investments, employees loaded with shares. A lot looking for profitable exits. So this should be a share, that could be hit hard when the tide will go. But maybe not yet.
The patterns: the inner structure of the wave show a nice likelihood...
